Election political polls today 14 October 2023
ELECTION POLITICAL POLLS – Fdi is growing again, Pd and M5S are declining: this is what emerges from the latest political electoral polls resulting from Super media Agi/Youtrend.
According to the survey, which is based on the average of polls carried out in recent weeks, Giorgia Meloni’s party gains 0.4 percent and is now at 28.9%.
The Democratic Party drops by 0.1% to 19.6 percent, while the 5 Star Movement drops by 0.2 percent to 16.3%.
The other two centre-right parties also did well: the League, in fact, grew by 0.2 percent, reaching 9.5%, while Forza Italia gained 0.1 percent and reached 7%.
Among the other minor parties, Azione dropped by 0.1 percent, while Italia Viva was stable at 2.9%.
The superaverage of lists
FdI 28.9% (+0.4)
PD 19.6% (-0.1)
M5S 16.3% (-0.2)
League 9.5% (+0.2)
FI 7.0% (+0.1)
Az 3.8% (-0.1)
AVS 3.4% (+0.1)
IV 2.9% (=)
+E 2.4% (=)
ItalExit 2.1% (+0.2)
UP 1.3% (=)
NM 0.9% (-0.2)
HOW SURVEYS ARE DONE
Electoral and political polls are carried out by opinion polling companies respecting very specific scientific criteria. The authors of the surveys must identify a sample to interview that is sufficiently large and representative of the population they intend to analyse. In the case of surveys on party voting intentions or the confidence index of political leaders, the interviewees must adequately represent the adult Italian population, those who have the right to vote and who go to the polls. This work is done to minimize the margin of error and make the detection as reliable as possible.
Usually a political-electoral poll is considered reliable if the margin of error indicated is 3 percent with a confidence interval of 95 percent. The greatest difficulty for pollsters is precisely that of identifying a representative sample of the population. Interviews for electoral political surveys are usually carried out with a Cati methodology, by telephone, or Cawi, via the Internet, or mixed. To carry out interviews, opinion polling companies rely on specialized companies.
Read also: All surveys
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