In different ways, the presidential candidate for Morena, Claudia Sheinbaumhas raised that has guaranteed victory and he has even scheduled the celebration. His apparent enthusiasm is based on the fact that some surveys give him advantages of over 20 points, with the exception of Massive Caller and Mexico Choose, which put single-digit differences and even a technical tie with Xochitl Galvez.
says one popular advice that It is a bad omen to celebrate the day beforebecause the soup falls from the plate to the mouth. We are facing an unprecedented scenario where the lies are the order of the day and it should not surprise us that voters They play the same thing with the pollsters. We see a police state eager to know secrets from their enemies (who are not with them) to give them a four. It has already been seen that AMLO and Morena do not forgive. It is not far-fetched to think that every recipient of a scholarship or public employee who has to answer surveys will have in mind if the person applying it is not an informant. To answer surveys became something risky for the vulnerable, whether they are interviewed at home or by phone, as they are easily reachable.
The victory of Lopez Obrador in 2018 It was atypical because obtained 53.19 percent of the total votethanks to a middle class who turned to the polls, encouraged by her “centrist” speech, which she later abandoned. The punishment was very clear in 2021 given that Brunette took out in the federal election 34.1 percent of the total vote for the legislative chambers, while PAN and PRI they added 36 percent. And if the concurrent local elections are taken into account, the difference in favor of the opposition was greater.
Why would I now Brunette a vote similar to that of 2018, with so many negatives by a government mismanagement and facing a opposition that with all its defects, has shown persistence and be there for you in the campaigns?
He enthusiasm for Morena is not the same as in 2018it may even be more adverse than that of 2021, due to the radicalism of the President and the fiascos in health, education, the energy issue and securityamong others.
The new political circumstances mean that surveys are no longer as effective as they once were. It will be demonstrated next June 2 if they are a metric anomaly or if the critical spirit of citizens has been lost. The Mexican electorate has learned to take it from inept rulers. Let us remember how at the end of de la Madrid’s six-year term, he fraudulently imposed himself on Salinas, assigning him an incredible vote of 50.3 percent over the 31.1 percent of Cárdenas, who has proven to have won the election, but it was taken away from him. Likewise, Zedillo’s turbulent six-year term caused citizens to take the presidency from the PRI for the first time, with Fox obtaining 42.5 percent, defeating Labastida (36.1). Likewise, the poor results of the PAN member Calderón in security and some failures in the economy managed to allow Peña to regain the presidency with 38.2 percent.
We wonder if the middle class and urban population are going to forgive Morena for the cancellation of the Texcoco airport, the worsening of the Pemex crisis, the disappearance of Seguro Popular and the failure of INSABI, the chaos of the energy sector, the hundreds of thousands of dead and missing, the empowerment of drug traffickers and so many things that have irritated us Mexicans. Of course, June 2 will not be a picnic for Q4.
We will have to see the Sinaloa case.
More from the same author:
- Walfre Ibarra Escobar
- The republic of older adults in Sinaloa
- Dollarization of Sinaloa and the dollar sellers of the Mercadito Buelna in Culiacán
#Mere #procedure #coin #air
