The current governor, Romeu Zema (Novo), has 50% of the valid votes, compared to 42% for Alexandre Kalil (PSD)
The dispute for the government of Minas Gerais has the possibility of being resolved in the 2nd round, shows Ipec research released this Saturday (1st.Oct.2022). The current governor, Romeo Zema (New), has 50% of valid voting intentions, against 42% of its main opponent Alexandre Kalil (PSD).
The survey was carried out from September 29 to October 1, 2022. The result in valid votes includes only the intentions attributed to a candidate, excluding blank and null votes. That’s how the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) will release the results on Sunday evening, October 2. If a candidate receives at least 50% + 1 of the votes, he will be elected in the 1st round.
The survey interviewed 2,000 voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 2 points. It is registered with the TSE under the number MG-09012/2022, cost BRL 155,760.86 and was paid by the Globo Group.
Read below the results of the scenario stimulated in the 1st round in valid votes:
- Romeo Zema (New): 50% (was 53% in the previous survey, released on 27.set);
- Alexandre Kalil (PSD): 42% (had 39%);
- Carlos Viana (PL): 4% (had 4%);
- Vanessa Portugal (PSTU): 1% (had 1%);
- Lorene Figueiredo (Psol): 1% (had 1%);
- Marcus Pestana (PSDB): 1% (had 1%);
- Renata Regina (PCB): 1% (had 1%);
- Cape Tristan (PMB): 1% (had 0%);
- Lourdes Francisco (PCO): 0% (had 0%);
- Indira Xavier (UP): 0% (had 1%).
SENATE
Here are the numbers, in valid votes, of the stimulated poll for senator:
- Cleitinho (PSC): 33% (it had 34% in the previous survey, released on 27.Sep);
- Alexandre Silveira (PSD): 33% (had 31%);
- Marcelo Aro (PP): 20% (had 18%);
- Sara Azevedo (Psol): 5% (had 4%);
- Pastor Altamiro Alves (PTB): 4% (had 5%);
- Bruno Miranda (PDT): 3% (had 4%);
- Dirlene Marques (PSTU): 1% (had 2%);
- Irani Gomes (PRTB): 1% (had 2%);
- Naomi de Almeida (PCO): 1% (had 1%).
RESEARCH COMPANIES
Several research companies in Brazil call themselves, “institutes”, which can give the idea that they are philanthropic entities or linked to some educational institution. In reality, they are all private for-profit companies. What differentiates them, in some cases, is the portfolio of clients they have and the rules for accepting certain contracts.
O PowerDatefor example, only conducts research for the private sector (including studies commissioned by the digital newspaper Power 360) and does not accept contracts from government agencies, politicians, candidates or parties.
Datafolha calls itself “Institute” and is a commercial company of the group that owns Folha de S.Paulo, UOL and the bank PagBank. He does not work for political parties or politicians, but accepts to carry out research for government agencies.
O ipec (Intelligence and Research in Consulting) is formed by executives from the former Ibope (which closed activities in January 2021). It is a commercial company that, like Ibope, maintained several contracts with the Globo Group, with their research being broadcast on the broadcaster’s television news. Ipec has no restrictions on accepting contracts with governments, parties or politicians. The command is from the statistician Márcia Cavallari, who made a career at Ibope and is now the CEO of Ipec.
The other research companies have no restrictions on working for parties, politicians or governments.
RESEARCH AGGREGATOR
O Power 360 maintains a collection with thousands of surveys with known methodologies and on which it was possible to verify the origin of the information. There have been studies carried out since the 2000 municipal elections. This is the largest and longest-running survey of electoral research available on the Brazilian internet.
The database is interactive and allows you to follow the progress of each candidate. Access the Research Aggregator clicking here.
Research information began to be compiled by the journalist Fernando RodriguesEditor-in-Chief of Power 360on its website, in the year 2000. To access the old page with the surveys, Click here.
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