Aerial images of the concentration and map of Copacabana beach allow approximate calculation of the concentration; survey was carried out via Poder360 drone and Google Earth
The act called by the former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL) for this Sunday (April 21, 2024) on Copacabana beach, in Rio, there was an audience ranging from approximately 40,000 to 45,000 people. The motorcade was at the intersection of Avenida Atlântica and Rua Bolívar.
The estimate was made through analysis of photos and videos from drones hired by the Power360. The demonstration was scheduled for 10 am, and the biggest gathering time was from 11:30 am to 12:30 pm. The event brought together pastor Silas Malafaia, federal deputy Nikolas Ferreira (PL-MG), former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro (PL), among others.
The act most intensely occupied around 3 blocks on the avenue that runs along Copacabana beach. This bank comprises a path of around 420 meters.
The former president's supporters began to gather at 7:30 am. As of 9am there were already people filling more than a block. The event actually began at 10am and ended at 12:30pm.
O Power360 used Google Earth to define the demonstration area. From the analysis of photos and videos, the density of occupied spaces was estimated and divided into low, medium and high density categories, which considered, respectively, two, 4 and 6 people per m².
The audience at an event of this nature is fluctuating. Some areas were more or less full throughout the afternoon. It is also not possible to clearly identify the public under trees or building marquees in the images. Because of these limitations, the Power360 estimated that the audience was in the range of 40,000 to 45,000 people.
USP (University of São Paulo) estimated the audience at 32.7 thousand people, based on calculations by the research group “Political Debate Monitor”. The margin of error is 12%, plus or minus.
ACT IN SÃO PAULO
On February 25th, the manifestation called by Bolsonaro, it brought together 300,000 to 350,000 people on Avenida Paulista, in São Paulo. The Secretary of Public Security of São Paulo, Guilherme Derrite, published on his profile on X (formerly Twitter) that the total audience was 750 thousand – but without explaining how he reached this conclusion. There were no records of serious security incidents at the event.
Fabio WajngartenBolsonaro's advisor, published on his page on the same social network as the demonstration in favor of the former president brought together more than half a million people. Already the USP (University of São Paulo) estimates that 185 thousand people were present at the event.
ACT IN RIVER
The last time I brought together supporters in Rio, on September 7, 2022, the demonstration was attended by around 111 thousand people on the Copacabana waterfront. At the time, Bolsonaro was still president, and spoke in an electric trio.
According to the images, the event celebrating 200 years of Independence took place from the Othon Palace hotel to the Copacabana Fort, an area measuring approximately 41,128 m². Research institutes that calculate popular participation in street demonstrations use an average of 1.8 to 2.2 people per square meter in events such as the March for Jesus and the LGBT Parade. Considering this average occupancy, the calculation was made in areas with higher and lower density of people.
#Bolsonaro39s #event #Rio #attended #people