The stopwatch keeps ticking for presidential elections in Venezuela.
(Also read: Venezuela Elections: what did the proposal that Gustavo Petro made to Nicolás Maduro contain and what made him uncomfortable?)
Precisely, a new front has opened in the polls, and it is the war for who leads the polls. Traditional companies give the advantage to the opposition led by Gonzalezwhile new pollsters report that President Nicolás Maduro would win in the elections on July 28.
The studies of Dataanalysis and Datacorptwo polling firms, reveal that Gonzalez He has 50 percent of voting intentions, while Maduro reaches 20 percent. On the other hand, the pollster Ideadatawith a public appearance, contemplates that Maduro has 52 percent of the votes compared to 22 percent for González.
(Also read: What happened to the mercenaries of Operation Gedeón who sought to overthrow Nicolás Maduro and what role did Colombia play?)
Analysts believe that this is a new government strategy: “creating pollsters that favor them, and thus confuse or demotivate the population,” Félix Moncada, political scientist and sociologist, tells EL TIEMPO.
Corina Yoris, María Corina Machado and Edmundo González
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For a few weeks now, These ‘new pollsters’ consider Maduro victorious. Dataviva, a firm about which further details are not known, in its April poll gave 53.6 percent of votes for the current president and 8.1 for González.
But the votes are not for González but against Maduro.
Studies like that of Delphos, meanwhile, reveal that 80 percent of Venezuelans want a change in government, or at least in policies, which means that No matter who the opposition candidate is, citizens are determined to vote against Maduro, but it does not mean that that number will vote for the opposition.
For Jesús Seguías, director of Datincorp, the candidate Edmundo González maintains 50 percent support and voting intention – this in a scenario with all the competitors -, while in a “closed scenario” against Nicolás Maduro he would have up to 62 percent. hundred.
President of Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro, at a government event, in Caracas (Venezuela).
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According to Seguías, if the elections were held today, “The government has a very difficult time winning.” “There is no compelling reason that says that the Government has the possibility of winning in the face of massive participation by a well-positioned opposition candidate who defends the vote,” he noted.
María Corina Machado transferred the votes to Edmundo González
González, 75, has only made a couple of public appearances, while Machado has led all the tours in the country.
But, the ruling party is preparing to mobilize more votes according to Datincorp studies, and this has to do with the fact that the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (Psuv) brings new structures that strengthen the so-called “1X10”, which is nothing more than a person takes 10 others to vote.
With this panorama, Seguías believes that only abstention could be the cause of a defeat for the Democratic Unity Roundtable, Edmundo González’s partybut abstention levels would not be high in these presidential elections.
ANA MARÍA RODRÍGUEZ BRAZÓN – EL TIEMPO CORRESPONDENT – CARACAS
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