So Meloni lost contact with reality and in the event of a flop at the European Championships he would reshuffle to the detriment of FdI
Giorgia Meloni halfway across the ford. In the middle between the right-right of the Spaniards of Vox, as seen last Sunday with the video of her connection to the Madrid event where they called her “Georgia”, and the dialogue with the European People’s Party not so much of the faded Ursula von der Leyen but of Manfred Weber, the true leader of the EPP who dictates the line and who will be the protagonist of the future balance for the European Commission and not only after the elections of 8-9 June.
This is the key to understanding the slip-ups and the end of the honeymoon highlighted by almost all the polls between the first female Prime Minister and the Italians. “In politics, standing with one foot in both shoes doesn’t work“, explains a long-time majority parliamentarian. Meloni asked Marine Le Pen and Matteo Salvini to break with the Germans of Afd after the statements on the SS by an ultra-right candidate from Berlin but this is not enough. It’s not enough to be a protagonist in Europe and to dictate the cards. And his strategy, as many in the majority admit, is destined to fail.
The idea of moving the axis to the right not only does not have the numbers but is destined to fail. An important slice of Ppeas he said yesterday to La Piazza Romana Affaritaliani.it the Foreign Minister and Deputy Prime Minister Antonio Tajanidoes not want Marine Le Pen, which will certainly be the first party in France. And therefore the Melonian project of bringing together his Conservatories with the Ppe and part of the right (the League and the French right) is not going anywhere. First of all there are no numbers and secondly a significant portion of the EPP has no intention of allying itself with parties that wink at Russia like National Rally against sending new weapons to Ukraine.
And while Salvini calmly plays the role of the opponent in Europe too, as he did for five years, for Meloni the problem is that from Prime Minister she would like to play a leading role in Brussels but her squint between Vox and the EPP isolates her and makes her Tajanigrowing strongly in the polls with his Forza Italia post-Silvio Berlusconi, the real key man of the Italian majority for the future balance in Europe. The holder of the Farnesina will be, as a member of Ppefully on the tables that count in the new EU executive while the prime minister and her double strategy of winking at a part of the right, such as Vox, and at the same time cementing the bond with Ursula (given the numerous trips together on the immigration dossier in Tunisia and also in Egypt) places it in a situation of ambiguity and distrust on the part of the Elysée, Macronand of the German Chancellery, Scholzor the two main ones player of the EU.
Not only that, Meloni’s Eastern European allies are the first to demand strong action against Russia and do not contest Fratelli d’Italia’s relationship and link with forces that are not on Kiev’s side and instead seem more lean towards Fly.
On the internal front, then, there is the real fool of the income meter. A very hard blow to the credibility not so much of the government but of the Brothers of Italy and in part also of Palazzo Chigi. The tax delegation to the Mef, as the controversies at the birth of the executive at the end of 2022 tell us, is held by the deputy minister Maurizio Leowho has always been very loyal to the prime minister and is part of hers inner circle. According to what appears to Affaritaliani.it Meloni would have asked the deputy to Giorgettiwithout informing the head of the Economy, to give a strong signal before the European elections to demonstrate that the government is effectively fighting tax evasion.
And so Leo released the news of the new income meter in full autonomy, a measure that goes exactly against Berlusconi’s historic philosophy of less state and more freedom for citizens and also deeply disliked by the League. Hence Tajani’s very harsh statements The Roman square Of Affaritaliani.it (“I will ask to repeal it, it’s like a police state”) and the very strong opposition of the League, with continuous unofficial notes leaked from Via Bellerio to the news agencies. So that Melons then he had to take it all back and disavow Leo who at this point is totally delegitimized and, even if Giorgetti were to become European commissioner after the June vote, he gambled the possibility of leading the Via XX Settembre department.
All without forgetting the very harsh opposition, or rather the obstructionism, that the oppositions, led by the Pd and M5S, are carrying out on the Premiered (“the mother of all reforms”, according to Giorgia) at Palazzo Madama. Despite Ignazio La Russa’s “kangaroo” to cut the process time in the Chamber as much as possible, the provision risks slipping and proceeding more slowly than the Northern League’s regional autonomy, thus giving another blow to Brothers of Italy and its leader. In short, it’s not looking good for Meloni just over two weeks before the polls open.
And the challenge of running as leader in all the constituencies could also be a boomerang. If FdI did less than the Politicians and stopped at 25% it would be a sensational defeat which would open the doors to an inevitable reshuffle, for example with Letizia Moratti which could take the place of the contested and shaky one Daniela Santanchè to Tourism. Although Meloni has denied the possibility of reviewing the government team, a possible flop with the growth of the allies (then we will see who will win the challenge between Forza Italia and the League) could cost the prime minister and her party dearly with a slimming cure in the executive in terms of seats and with a marginal role in Europe. Is the honeymoon really over? We will have the definitive answer on Monday 9 June but the pieces of the puzzle are all there.
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