Dina Mahmoud (Washington, London)
Less than 5 months before Americans head to the polls to choose their 47th president, Donald Trump appears to be on his way to competing strongly to win the elections, despite the judicial problems he faces, which have reached a new peak, after his conviction by a New York jury, in A case related to tampering with financial records.
These problems have not been resolved yet, without various opinion polls showing Trump ahead of his rival, Democratic President Joe Biden, in the key swing states, which are believed to play a decisive role in determining the identity of the winner of the presidential elections scheduled for next November.
Analysts following the American electoral race say that although it seems difficult for Democrats to imagine that the United States is now heading towards a second Trump presidency, with only 4 years separating his first term, current indicators do not rule out the possibility of this happening.
Significant segments of American voters believe that there are political motives behind the financial records issue, for which Trump was convicted on the 34 charges against him.
In addition, opponents of the former president hoped that he would be convicted in connection with his accusation in more important cases, most notably the attempt to work to cancel the results of the 2020 elections, which he lost to Biden. But this is not expected to happen before the presidential vote.
In another context, analysis of the results of recent opinion polls indicates that Biden’s performance as a candidate weakens his popularity and reduces his party’s support rate in the American street, at a time when it is too late for the Democratic president to step down, in favor of another, younger candidate, who may be more convincing to a larger number. of voters.
In addition, the Democratic campaign’s reliance on Kamala Harris, Biden’s deputy, who was previously described as the “female version” of former President Barack Obama, may not help in enhancing the Democrats’ chances of retaining the presidential position. The popularity of this American lawyer and politician of African and Asian descent is still low, similar to the support rate for Biden himself.
At the same time, the economic file, according to analysts, constitutes one of the thorny issues that may undermine the Democratic President’s efforts to remain in the Oval Office for another four years, especially since his supporters feel disappointed about what they consider to be a denial by the Americans of the “economic achievements” that have been achieved. During the Biden era.
These supporters say that it is fair to give credit to Biden for the growth of the United States economy at a rate that is the fastest of its kind in the West, even though most economists were expecting a recession during the current year. However, this growth did not lead to a change in the position of a large number of American voters towards the current administration, as they believe that they were better off economically during the Trump era.
This means, as analysts said in statements published by the British newspaper “Financial Times” on its website, that Americans will go to the polling stations on November 5, feeling poorer than they should be, which will likely affect their voting trends.
Biden’s supporters believe that this conviction may be due to the weakness of the propaganda messages directed by the Democratic campaign to the electorate, which prevented them from understanding the reality of the current economic situation and the improvement witnessed during the past three years, which ultimately leads to him continuing to… Trump’s campaign train, on the road leading to his possible election victory.
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