The death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi confirmed his role is assumed immediately by first executive vice president, Mohammad Mokhber. Article 131 of the Constitution of the Islamic Republic provides for this. The appointment must however be confirmed by the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the final say on all matters of state.
A provisional authority established, a council composed of first vice-president, by the president of the Chamber, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and by the head of the judiciary, Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei, will have the task of organizing the election of a new president within the maximum period of 50 days. However, Khamenei can, alternatively, decide to ask the council to appoint a successor without resorting to the polls to avoid a transition phase in a complex period like the current one, marked by the war between Israel and Hamas.
In the case of an investiture coming from above, most analysts point to Ghalibaf, former mayor of Tehran and former general of the Guardians of the Revolution, a figure who survived all of Khamenei’s purges and who has long aspired to the presidency. Both Mokhber and Mohseni-Ejei are considered loyal executors of the orders of the Supreme Leader who, should Ghalibaf be chosen, should not get in the way due to personal ambitions.
Iran, in some regions the news of the Raisi accident is celebrated with fireworks
However, even the current head of the judiciary, a figure who is personally appointed by Khamenei without approval from Parliament, could have some chance. Raisi was elected president in 2021. The next elections are currently scheduled for 2025.
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