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Summer is just around the corner – actually. Weather experts fear that it could remain rainy, but heat waves are also conceivable.
Munich – The Weather in 2024 has been particularly changeable so far. After temperature records were broken in February, the weather cooled down in spring – and summer weather was only sporadic until the beginning of June. This raises the question for many people: What will the weather be like in Summer? IPPEN.MEDIA asked three experts for their assessment. Whether heat waves and heavy rain or mild sunshine – it could be an extreme summer.
Instead of sunshine, Germany is likely to face a “severe summer of floods and/or storms”
The early summer was literally a washout in large parts of Germany. In southern Germany in particular, some Regions struggling with flooding due to heavy rainfallEven though the situation has now eased somewhat in many places, one can breathe a sigh of relief, according to meteorologist Dominik Jung from wetter.net not necessarily.
When asked, he predicts: “It doesn’t look like it’s going to be very hot…but it will be significantly wetter in some regions. There are some indications that the current weather situation will continue, with a lot of moisture…moderately warm, frequent storms and Thunderstorm and Flood. Germany could be threatened by a severe summer of flooding and/or storms.” Of course there could be hot days, but it is not possible to say with any certainty what peak values will be reached.
Heat waves and extreme rainfall possible – Summer 2024 in Germany
His forecast is at least partially in line with the assessment of weather and climate expert Frank Böttcher, who, among other things, runs the website boettcher.science operates. IPPEN.MEDIA he reports on request: “The already far too high water temperatures in the seas around Central Europe and the extreme heat developing in North Africa indicate that we are in this Summer with strong heat waves in Europe have to reckon with.” The Jet stream could intensify extreme heat waves.
However, like Jung, he also sees the risk of heavy rainfall. “At the same time, the high water temperatures also increase evaporation and thus the risk of further extreme rainfall.” For example, there are currently extreme storms on Mallorca.
The DWD’s weather forecast is more relaxed: “normal to warmer summer”
The German Weather Service (DWDIn their seasonal weather forecast, the experts expect a “moderate probability for a normal to warmer summer compared to the same 3-month average in the period 1991 – 2020.” This puts the seasonal climate forecast for the summer of 2024 in the middle range.
There is a slight tendency towards warmer temperatures than the monthly average, especially in late summer. The DWD is not predicting an increased probability of rain or extreme weather in its seasonal weather forecast. However, the weather service makes it clear that the quality of the forecasts varies and that deviations can always occur. At least according to the 100-year calendar forecast for summer 2024, the weather will be quite nice and dry. (kiba)
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