Nomisma: without further state interventions, the increase in gas bill prices will be around 50%
The snow that has begun to whiten the ski slopes is a godsend for the tourism sector – hoping that new variants won’t slow the return to normal – but that’s bad news as far as i is concerned consumption of electricity and gas. In January they should shoot new increases of around 25% with regard to electricity and 50% for gas.
According to the data made available by Segugio.it, the price of one cubic meter of this element (40% of which Italy imports from Russia) has passed from € 0.17 in the first quarter of this year to € 0.19 in the second, € 0.28 in the third and € 0.50 in the fourth. The increase was, quarter on quarter, respectively of 14.2, 44.4 and 74.7%, while for the full year we are just under + 300% which is scary.
Among other things, the sudden freezing of temperatures raises fears that we may be facing a winter similar to that of last year. That was hotter than the average of the century, but the coldest of the last eight years. And this was the first problema: in 2020-2021 we are there play a slice of the accumulated supplies which we had already paid for and which could therefore be placed on the market at controlled prices. By the way, last winter was one of the most abundant from the point of view of rainfall and therefore forced a greater use of heaters due to excessive humidity.
The problem, however, begins to make itself felt heavily because, according to Nomisma, without further state intervention, the increase in the prices of gas bills will be around 50%. In an interview withHandle the president of Nomisma Energia, Davide Tabarelli, explained that prices “went crazy in the middle of 2021, and are now out of control. Given the trend of international markets, without state intervention to calm down ”, a further increase could be reached which would be almost unmanageable.
The same goes for electricity: with the enhanced protection service, the amount is established by Arera quarterly. Well, we went from 0.19 euros per kw / h in the first quarter to 0.3 in the fourth. And, as Nomisma says, we may have to register a further + 25% in the first “segment” of 2022.
The question arises: why? As far as gas is concerned, institutional explanations are not enough. As Tabarelli himself wrote today on the Sole 24 Ore, “Explanations abound: lower supplies from Russia, low stocks, fewer arrivals of loads of liquefied natural gas” and so on. But that’s not enough. Because the shortage of gas is around 25% of the total, while prices have rebounded by up to 900%.
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