The general impression that spread through the press room and the spin room enabled by CNN in Atlanta for a thousand journalists was confirmed by the polls: Trump swept the debate. The key question of who won the debate, always somewhat conditioned by the ideology of the responder, gave former President Donald Trump the winner by a large majority of the first presidential debate for the 2024 elections, according to a poll organized by the network itself.
According to the CNN emergency poll, 67% of viewers think Trump won the debate, compared to 33% who think Biden did. Two-thirds to one-third, a difference of 34 points. The network conducted similar polls in the two debates between the two candidates in 2020. In the first, Biden won by a landslide, 60% to 28%, while in the second he won by a slightly smaller margin, 53% to 39%.
What is perhaps more worrying for Biden is that that same flash poll conducted by CNN shows that before the debate there were 37% of respondents who had a favorable opinion of the current president, while after the debate, that percentage has dropped to 31%. Instead, Trump gains three approval points, up to 43%.
When asked who has addressed concerns about how he will manage the presidency, 48% opt for Trump, 23% for Biden and 22% for neither. As for whether the debate will affect voting intentions, 5% indicate that they have changed their mind, 14% that they are reconsidering it and 81% remain faithful to his ideas. In a close election, a small movement in favor of one candidate or another, especially in decisive states, can decide the presidency.
The survey ends with a question about who respondents plan to vote for. In this quick poll, 48% say they are only planning to vote for Trump, 40% for Biden, 2% are undecided between the two, and 11% are not planning to vote for either the Republican or the Democrat.
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Biden suffered throughout the debate. With his voice taken, apparently by a cold, with hesitations and unfinished sentences, he confirmed the worst fears of the Democrats, that at 81 he would be perceived as too old to assume a new term as president. Trump, meanwhile, spouted lies and hoaxes again and again, but seemed much more energetic and fit, even though he is 78 years old.
There had never been a debate between two candidates of such advanced age, nor had there ever been one between two successive occupants of the White House. This was also the first debate organized exclusively by a private channel, although it has shared its signal with all the major television stations that have wanted to use it.
After this Thursday’s debate, Biden and Trump have campaign events this Friday in rival territory, but in which the difference is not insurmountable. Biden will go to North Carolina and Trump will go to Virginia, where he will be accompanied by the governor, Glenn Youngkin, the latest to emerge in the pools as a possible Republican candidate for vice president. This Thursday the three who have made the most noise in the pools were in Atlanta, senators JD Vance and Marco Rubio and the governor of North Dakota, Doug Burgum. The latter pointed out in a group with journalists that the Republicans have a large bench and many options to choose a candidate to accompany Trump. At the same time, he threw a dart at the Democrats: he recommended that they lock themselves “in the locker room during intermission” and consider making a change of candidate.
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