With this Sunday's election results in hand, the PNV and the PSE-EE have looked each other in the face this Monday. They are condemned to understand each other despite the fact that they clashed in some phases of the campaign. Messages have already been exchanged to open a negotiation that, barring unforeseen events, will lead to a new agreement to form a Government chaired by Imanol Pradales (PNV) and with a greater specific weight of the socialists. The opposite would mean introducing EH Bildu into the formula, the party that has grown the most in votes and seats in these elections, which the socialist and Peneuvist leaders are not willing to do. “I'm sure that [el PNV y el PSE-EE] We are going to agree because we are united by the desire to give stability to the institutions,” stated the president of the PNV, Andoni Ortuzar. And Eneko Andueza, general secretary of the Basque socialists, has assessed: “We should not waste a single second in sitting down and developing a government program.”
The 27 seats of the PNV (two less than in 2020) and the 12 of the PSE-EE (two more) guarantee them an absolute majority in a more nationalist and left-wing Parliament. They have about two months to reach an understanding, given that the lehendakari's investiture plenary session would be held in the second half of June. On the same election night they left clues that they are destined to repeat the alliance they have maintained since 2016. The Peneuvistas are inclined, Pradales dared to say, for a pact that gives “stability” to an Executive that reflects the “plurality” of Basque society . The socialists, firm in their refusal to ally with Bildu, have no other alternative to remain in power.
In the Socialist Executive of Euskadi, meeting this Monday afternoon, there has been unanimity in betting on maintaining the coalition with the PNV and trying to gain presence in the new cabinet (currently three of the 11 councilors are socialists). Itxaso Atutxa, president of the PNV of Biscay, has acknowledged on Radio Euskadi that the PSE-EE is her “preferred partner” and that the increase achieved on 21-A would make them worthy of having “more weight” in the Government Council.
“On the next one, on the next one.” Bildu's spokesperson in Congress, Mertxe Aizpurua, privately expressed this Monday with these words her confidence that the final blow will be delivered in 2027, when the polls open to elect the city councils and provincial councils. The coalition does not hide its joy and downplays the role that it will most likely have to play this next term in the opposition. The success of the sovereigntist formation is simmering: “We are in no hurry because we are going very far,” says Otegi. Since 2016, his party has only grown. “It's a matter of time,” they admit in the electoral team.
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The sovereigntist leader appears this Monday smiling next to a sign that says “420,722 thanks.” It is the “national accounting” that this formation keeps by adding the votes it totals in the Basque Country, Navarra and the south of France. This Sunday they rose to 341,735 votes, almost 29,000 away from being equal with the PNV. “The change in the political cycle is already here”, “the growth is spectacular”, “the political map is changing”, Otegi starts to stick out his chest. “If anyone thinks he has won, look at the map,” he adds.
Remember that 55 of the 75 elected parliamentarians defend that “Euskadi is a nation with the right to decide” and that 40 support progressive measures. His conclusion is clear: “We must comply with the popular mandate, which wants more sovereignty and more left-wing policies.” Given the complicity that he observes between the PNV and the PSE to continue governing together, the leader abertzale warns that “people demand another governance model” in which, as he has suggested, EH Bildu would necessarily have to participate. And he sends the following: “The Basque people have put everyone in their place” and leaves the PNV-PSE tandem with four seats less than four years ago.
The coalition abertzale He proclaims himself as “the structural winner” of an election in which practically all parties see something positive to celebrate. The PNV for being the force with the most votes and having secured the Basque presidency; EH Bildu for winning six seats and tying with the Peneuvistas at 27, in addition to staying one step away from the surprise (it is less than three points away in percentage of votes); the socialists because they are recovering lost ground since 2009 and will be decisive for governability, and the PP for stopping a downward trend that made it hit rock bottom and add parliament to the six it had. Even in Sumar they claim to have reasons to be satisfied with the seat they won in their electoral debut. The big loser is Elkarrekin Podemos, and its leaders recognize it — it is “a bad result,” said its national spokesperson, Pablo Fernández — after throwing away the six seats they had and being left out of Parliament.
This coming Friday the votes of residents abroad will be counted. There are 8,197 ballots that could alter the provisional distribution of seats. There are two minutes of the socialists that would be in the air, one that could go to the EH Bildu locker in Gipuzkoa and the other that would go to Sumar in Bizkaia. The coalition abertzale It is unlikely that they will win the twelfth seat in Gipuzkoa, which would give them victory in terms of seats, because the last seat in this constituency was decided in favor of the socialists by a difference of 1,360 ballots. The PSE also considers its four seats in Bizkaia safe because it is unlikely that Sumar will beat them in the CERA vote.
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