Dina Mahmoud (London)
With Americans anticipating the start of the campaign season for politicians aspiring to win the Republican and Democratic nomination cards for the presidential race, many analytical circles in Washington confirm that this competition may be settled for the current President Joe Biden and his predecessor Donald Trump, which brings to mind the confrontation that took place between them, before About three years, to reach the White House.
The two men are still, according to current data, the most likely to win the primaries, which are supposed to be held within the two main parties, to determine their representatives in the presidential ballot in November 2024. According to political analysts; It is almost certain that President Biden will find the way open for him to run in the elections next year as a representative of his Democratic Party, defeating the most prominent opponents awaiting him within the party, led by Robert Kennedy Jr., nephew of the thirty-fifth US President, John F. Kennedy.
Analysts attribute this likely candidacy for the current US president to the fact that choosing a personality may threaten the Democratic Party’s chances of remaining in the Oval Office, in light of historical precedents, which indicate that presidential voting in the United States usually results in the victory of the inhabitant of the house. Al-Abyad served a second term, which is what actually happened, with 35 former presidents out of 45.
In addition, Biden is still trusted by the majority of his party members, in light of the results of an opinion poll conducted last June, which revealed that 82% of Democrats support him, despite the recent criticism. The picture is not very different with former Republican President Donald Trump, whom analysts point out in statements to the “The Conversation” website, that he is still ahead of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who is his closest competitor within his party, by at least 32 points.
Trump also enjoys the support of at least 50% of Republicans, who see him as the best candidate for the party in the 2024 race. And it enhances the chances of the Republican billionaire to run for the ballot next year, which appears to be the coherence of his support base within his party, even as he faces multiple charges. , against the background of the events that accompanied and followed the last presidential elections, which he lost in 2020. These indicators suggest, according to analysts, that the Americans will have a date after 15 months, with a repetition of the confrontation that took place before their eyes in late 2020 between Biden and Trump, in the same way It is known as “déjà vu” or the phenomenon of “seen before”, in which those who go through it feel that the events they see in front of them are nothing but situations that they lived through in every detail in the past.
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