Ukrainian War | “In the war, we may be focusing a little too much on warfare” – The expert does not believe that Russia is capable of a breakthrough

Russian the armed forces are the president of Russia Vladimir Putin increased the number of troops in Ukraine. Putin said on Friday that Russia has deployed almost 700,000 soldiers in the neighboring regions of Ukraine.

Still at the turn of the year he toldthat 617,000 soldiers will participate in the operation.

A year during the first half, Russia has opened a new front in Kharkiv, and continued its slow advance on the eastern front. In February, after heavy fighting, it captured the city of Avdijivka. Even though the US aid package has made Ukraine’s defense fight easier, its situation on the front is still difficult.

The masses the increase in the number is not the docent of military sciences at the Swedish National Defense University Ilmari Käihkön according to surprising.

“This is simply because Russia has been able to accumulate more reserves.”

Ukraine said it caused Russia to lose 38,940 soldiers during May.

However, the assessments of Ukraine’s allies are more moderate. The British Ministry of Defense estimates that the monthly average is about half On Ukraine’s announcement in May.

US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin again said on Thursday According to the United States, Russia’s total losses are about 350,000 soldiers, or an average of 13,000 soldiers per month.

“The loss figure reported by Ukraine may be exaggerated.” Cuckoo states.

Britain’s the Ministry of Defense estimates in May that Russia is mobilizing around 30,000 soldiers per month. According to Käihkö, it is difficult to assess the accuracy of the number.

“But if this figure is correct, then it is clear that troops are accumulating in Russia. If Russia is able to mobilize men better than Ukraine, it can also suffer losses better”

Ukraine has told before, that around 800,000 soldiers serve in its armed forces. However, according to Käihkö, Ukraine’s possible male superiority does not really help it.

“In Russia has material superiority and the initiative in his hands. The initiative is really significant in this regard,” says Käihkö.

The initiative in Russia forces Ukraine to react to Russia’s actions and puts Ukraine in a vulnerable position. Russia can choose where and when to attack.

“The defender has to have troops a little everywhere. Russia, on the other hand, can create focal points and concentrate forces.”

A large part of the Ukrainian forces are also not combat forces, but a significant number serve in various support roles. According to Ukraine’s own announcement, only a good third of its armed forces have served on the front.

Cuckold however, does not believe that the growing number of Russian troops and the ability to initiate will have a significant impact on the war in the near future. Attacking has been really challenging for both sides during the war.

In addition, there are major shortcomings in the training of the troops, and even if some kind of breaches in the front line were to be found, it would be really difficult to exploit them.

According to Käihkö, Russia will still continue its slow progress in the East. Its importance in the big picture of the war will probably still be minor.

“Do a couple of ruined villages here or there matter how much?”

The war at this stage, broader social issues such as the economy, the defense industry, the humanitarian situation, and Ukraine’s ability to mobilize soldiers are more important than the frontline situation.

“In war, we focus perhaps a little too much on warfare.”