It has been a republican tsunami. There were not even real options for Kamala Harris in the so-called decisive states. Donald Trump won what he could win, everything except the great Democratic fiefdoms, and even in them he increased the votes compared to four years ago. For example, New York, the most Democratic of the Democratic states, saw Trump unexpectedly prevail in neighborhoods in Queens and Brooklyn. This Wednesday, internal reproaches began in the Democratic campaign and among its strategists. He lamented on networks, on sets and in opinion articles that the country is sexist, racist, that it is not ready for a progressive agenda. But in reality the answer is simple, it’s old, it was coined by Bill Clinton’s team back in 1992: “It’s the economy stupid.” Ultimately, Trump’s return to power was consolidated thanks to a renewed coalition of voters, novel for Republicans, people with fewer resources and low or medium education, who prioritized their economic concerns and perceived in Trump’s direct and populist style a more concrete promise of change than Harris’s message of unity for the future. Standard Related News If Harris sank after losing support from women, blacks and Hispanics David Alandete Although 54% view Trump with bad eyes, the priority issue is making ends meet and not the identity agenda Economic issues played a decisive role in the choice. 31% of voters mentioned the poor performance of the economy as the most important issue when deciding their vote, and 51% indicated that they trusted Trump more to manage the economy, compared to 47% who expressed confidence in Harris, according to Reuters exit polls. Others, from media such as CNN or MSNBC, confirmed these conclusions. Black Vote BleedThe same polls revealed that Harris failed to replicate the support Biden garnered in 2020 among Black voters, earning 86% support compared to Biden’s 92%. This decline was even more notable among black men, where Harris won only 78% compared to the 87% who supported Biden in the previous election. Among black women, a group historically loyal to Democrats, support for Harris remained very high at 90%, but also showed a slight decrease compared to the support Biden received in 2020. All groups, everyone, preferred to Biden, based on these results. Hispanic voters also showed a trend shifting toward the Republican Party. Although Harris won the majority of Hispanic votes nationally with 53%, this percentage was lower than the 59% that Biden achieved four years earlier. Among Hispanic men, the change was particularly notable: 54% supported Trump, a considerably higher compared to the 40% it obtained in 2020. Hispanic women maintained their preference for Democrats, but there was also a decrease in the margin, reflecting a loss of ground in a key group for Democrats. According to the data provided, the percentage of Hispanic women who supported Harris in the election was 61%. Disenchanted young people Among young voters, a crucial demographic in Biden’s victory in 2020, Harris also failed to maintain the same level of support. While he received 55% of the vote in the 18-29 age group, this represented a drop compared to the 24-point margin by which Biden beat Trump in this group in 2020. Harris, who became the The first black woman to lead a major party ticket, she thus lost ground among black, Hispanic and young voter groups, significantly weakening the Democratic electoral base and allowing Trump to recapture the crucial states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Georgia, which They gave her the 270 electoral votes necessary to return to the White House without waiting for recounts. Over three months, Harris tried to connect with Hispanic, black and male voters, and make a difference against Trump, who had rejected her defeat in 2020, fomented a violent insurrection at the Capitol and still faces multiple criminal charges. However, based on the result, Trump based his campaign on issues that resonated more with voters, such as the economy and immigration, promising the deportation of millions of people in what would be the largest deportation program in US history. The populist and protectionist promises of economic security were effective in strengthening her connection with the white working class and male voters, weakening the support that Harris hoped to retain in these sectors. High prices and persistent inflation since the beginning of the Biden’s mandate generated a feeling of frustration, especially among working-class voters who, in some cases, experienced a worsening of their financial situation. In 2022, inflation will exceed 9%, a drama for many families. According to surveys, 45% of voters said that their family financial situation was worse than four years ago, a figure notably higher than the 20% who reported the same in 2020. Trump also took advantage of discontent with the Biden administration’s immigration policies, which were highly criticized by both Republicans and some Democratic leaders in border states.
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