The Popular Party would win the general elections in the Region of Murcia and would add between 4 and 5 seats, according to the CIS pre-election barometer, published this Wednesday. The PSOE would be the second force in the elections of 23-J, since it would obtain between 2 and 3 deputies in the Community, while Vox would remain in two. It would also get a Sumar representative, according to the survey carried out from 655 interviews in the Region and almost 30,000 throughout Spain.
Therefore, the CIS grants the Popular Party an increase with respect to the results of the 2019 elections, in which it obtained three seats, the same as PSOE and Vox, which was the party with the most votes but this time it would lose strength. Yolanda Díaz’s party would premiere repeating the same results that Podemos had four years ago in the Region.
If these results were to come about, Luis Alberto Marín, Isabel Borrego, Violante Tomás and Juan Luis Pedreño would be elected as deputies by the PP, but Miriam Guardiola would be in doubt. The same as the socialists Joaquín Martínez, but Francisco Lucas and Caridad Rives, also from the PSRM, would obtain a seat.
As for Vox, Lordes Méndez and Joaquín Robles would repeat as deputies, but not Luis Gestoso, number 3 on the list. Yes, Javier Sánchez Serna, number 1 of Sumar for the Region, who in 2019 also led the candidacy of Podemos, would return to Congress.
majority left
In Spain, the PP will win the next general elections, according to the latest CIS barometer. However, the survey grants a majority to the left and Pedro Sánchez to govern through pacts. Alberto Núñez Feijóo would prevail in the elections with 31.4% compared to 31.2% for Pedro Sánchez. Given these results and according to the CIS, the PP would obtain between 122 and 140 seats, compared to the PSOE’s range of 115-135.
Most of the left would come from the ‘sorpasso’ of Sumar a Vox. Yolanda Díaz would surpass those of Santiago Abascal by almost six points. Thus, Sumar would obtain between 43 and 50 seats in Congress for Vox’s 21 to 29. The left would thus touch the absolute majority, even almost without the need for support from pro-independence forces.
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