The Coalition Party, which has long been in favor of joining NATO, has ripped its neck to other parties since Russia invaded Ukraine.
Coalition continues to be Finland’s most popular party with a clear difference from the following, according to HS’s opinion poll in June.
Opposition party support rose to an almost record 24.4 per cent. The last time support was the same was in 2009, when it was 24.7 percent.
The Coalition Party’s lead over the second most popular SDP narrowed slightly, as support for the Prime Minister’s Party rose to 19.4 per cent from a month ago.
The support of basic Finns, on the other hand, fell by almost one percentage point to 14.5 per cent. The party’s support rose momentarily in May, but before that the support of basic Finns had fallen steadily since November last year. At that time, the party’s support was still 18 percent.
Support for the city center fell slightly in the May survey. Support for other parties hardly changed from the April measurement. The support for the Greens also seems to have ended, and support for the party has so far stabilized at close to nine per cent in the HS poll.
COALITION has ripped its neck to other parties since the start of the Russian attack. This may be due in part to the fact that the party has long been in favor of NATO membership.
On the other hand, many other parties have also recently turned to NATO membership, and it is still unclear how big the election theme will be for NATO, for example, in next spring’s parliamentary elections.
Based on the background material of the survey, it seems that the people of Central Finland and Perussuomalainen who became supporters of the Coalition Party have remained in the ranks of the Coalition Party. Although the Basic Finns were initially able to compensate for the shift in support by attracting, for example, people who have not necessarily voted at all in the past, the party’s support is still declining.
For the Left Alliance, the hectic NATO issue does not, at least for the time being, show a clear decline in support, let alone an increase. This may be due in part to the fact that some party voters are still following the situation from the sidelines. It also appears that supporters of both the Left Alliance and the Greens have moved to some extent to the SDP, whose support has strengthened slightly from a month ago.
Fact
This is how the study was done
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Kantar TNS carried out a study commissioned by Helsingin Sanomat.
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The research material was collected from 16 May to 10 June 2022. 2,442 people were interviewed for the study. The material was collected through telephone interviews.
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The sample represents the population aged 18–79 in Finland, excluding those living in the province of Åland. The sample was formed by multi-stage stratified sampling.
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The margin of error in the study is about 2.1 percentage points for the largest parties in its direction.
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The proportion of those who did not know or did not want to say which party would vote in the parliamentary elections or said they would not go to the polls was 34 per cent.
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Respondents were asked: “If parliamentary elections were held now, which party or other faction would you vote for?” and “Which party or other faction did you vote for in the June municipal elections?”
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