Cat cats us. In Democratic party the alarm went off after the stop of the Zan Bill in the Senate, with the go-ahead by secret ballot of the trap wanted by the Lega and the Brothers of Italy, which sends the measure back to committee, blocking it for at least six months. The concern in the Dems is now for the Quirinale match and concerns the move of Italia Viva towards the Center-right (although officially the Renzians claimed to have voted against the trap) and the snipers in the ranks especially of the 5 Star Movement. What until yesterday seemed only a game or a “dream” of Antonio Tajani, that is to say Silvio Berlusconi President of the Republic, today – numbers in hand – is becoming a hypothesis that cannot be ruled out a priori. If there is no agreement between the parties, the fourth vote will certainly be taken, when the quorum from a qualified majority will drop to absolute.
The united Center-right, also considering the regional delegates, will probably be able to count on 441 electors to which we could hypothetically add i 41 of Italia Viva and the sum reaches 482: only 23 votes less than 505 required to elect the Head of State from the fourth ballot. In the Democratic Party they are also in strong alarm for possible M5S snipers who, rather than vote for Mario Draghi and risk early elections (with loss of annuity), could vote for the former Knight in the secret of the ballot box. with the aim of saving the legislature. There are also numerous former pentastellati, both in the Chamber and in the Senate, who could pass with the Center-right in exchange for the promise of reapplication in the political elections in the vicinity of the vote for the Quirinale. Berlusconi President of the Republic is not the main hypothesis and the most probable scenario, but after the halt to the Zan Bill – according to the sentiments that can be felt in the party led by Enrico Letta – it can no longer be dismissed as an arthouse balloon.
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