This Saturday They wait heavy rains or very powerful in Oaxaca, Chiapas and Tabasco, and the heat will be very present in almost the entire country, half of the states will have 40 degrees up, and the rest a little less, according to the Forecast general of Meteorologic service Conagua National.
at dawn
A frontal system (out of season) will extend with stationary characteristics over the north and northeast of Mexicowill interact with a dry line over those regions, an upper trough and with the subtropical jet stream, so they are forecast rains strong punctual shocks with electric shocks and fall of hail in Coahuila, Nuevo León and Tamaulipas, in addition to wind with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h and probability of whirlwinds or tornadoes in the mentioned states.
Likewise, wind is expected with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h and possible dust devils in Durango, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes and San Luis Potosí, and wind with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h with possible dust devils in Baja California, Baja California Sur, Sonora, Chihuahua, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco.
A low pressure channel extended over the east, center and southeast of the national territory, in combination with instability at altitude, will cause rains and showers accompanied by electric shocks and hail in the center and east of the Mexican Republic. Likewise, they are forecast wind gusts of 40 to 60 km/h in Guerrero, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico and Mexico City; south component wind with gusts of 70 to 90 km/h in Veracruz (south) and Oaxaca (Isthmus of Tehuantepec); and wind gusts of 50 to 70 km/h in Chiapas, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
An area of low pressure with a probability of cyclonic development to the south-southwest of Guerrero and an area of atmospheric instability with a probability of cyclonic development to the south of Oaxaca, will reinforce the probability of rains in the Mexican southeast, with very heavy occasional rains forecast in Chiapas and strong points in Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico and Oaxaca; same that could generate puddles, landslides and floods.
On day
Already in the day, the frontal system (out of season) will extend with stationary characteristics over the northeast of the country, causing showers with electrical discharges and gusts of wind in that region (and it is expected that during the early hours of Sunday the front will move over the northern Gulf of Mexico and stops affecting the country).
On the other hand, a low pressure channel over the east, center and southeast of the national territory, in combination with instability at high levels of the atmosphere, will maintain the probability of occasional heavy showers and rains in the central and eastern states of the country, which will be accompanied by electric shocks, strong gusts of wind and possible hail; In Oaxaca and Chiapas, the rains will be intense at times and in Tabasco, very strong at times.
The low pressure area with a probability of cyclonic development and the area of instability, south of Guerrero and Oaxaca, will continue to reinforce the probability of rains towards the Mexican southeast.
Rain forecast for this Saturday, May 18, 2024:
Very heavy rains with intense occasional events (75 to 150 mm): Oaxaca and Chiapas.
Heavy rains with very strong spots (50 to 75 mm): Tabasco.
Intervals of showers with heavy occasional rains (25 to 50 mm): Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Veracruz (south) and Campeche.
Shower intervals (5 to 25 mm): Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Guerrero and Morelos.
Isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm): Michoacán and Yucatán.
Heavy, very heavy and intense rains could cause landslides, flooding or flooding, as well as an increase in the levels of rivers and streams.
Strong gusts of wind could cause trees and advertisements to fall.
High temperatures could cause health problems.
Forecast of maximum temperatures for this Saturday, May 18, 2024:
Maximum temperatures above 45 °C: Michoacán, Guerrero, Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche and Yucatán.
Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Sonora, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Sinaloa, Hidalgo (north), Oaxaca, Chiapas and Quintana Roo.
Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: Baja California, Baja California Sur, Chihuahua, Durango, Zacatecas, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Aguascalientes, Querétaro (north), Guanajuato, Morelos, Puebla (north and southwest) and State of Mexico ( southwest).
Maximum temperatures of 30 to 35 °C: Tlaxcala and Mexico City.
Minimum temperature forecast for this Saturday, May 18, 2024:
Minimum temperatures of 0 to 5 °C during the early hours of Sunday: mountains of Chihuahua, Durango and the State of Mexico.
Wind forecast for this Saturday, May 18, 2024:
South component wind with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h: Veracruz (south), Oaxaca (Isthmus of Tehuantepec), Chiapas, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo, with possible dust devils: Baja California, Baja California Sur, Coahuila, Nuevo León , San Luis Potosí and Zacatecas.
Wind with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h in Tabasco and with possible dust devils: Sonora, Chihuahua, Durango, Tamaulipas, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Guerrero and Morelos.
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