The first message on the new priorities of the president biden became known last week when the Secretary of State, Anthony Blinken, arrived in Mexico for a strategic bilateral meeting that threatened a scenario of geopolitical rupture by the nationalist threats of Mexican President López Obrador.
But the person in charge of the powerful US foreign policy showed his friendly and anti-conflict side in Mexico and avoided deepening the differences in migration, drug trafficking and trade relations. The message was very clear: President Biden’s priority is in his internal electoral agenda for the legislative and state government elections next November that could change the US political landscape in the second half of the first term.
Traditionally, the opposition party has always achieved a better position in Congress and the governorships, although today with the worrying message that the only political and electoral opposition is the one represented by the former president Donald Trump controlling the Republican Party and himself proposing himself as a presidential candidate in 2024.
President Biden faces two serious problems: his age –he will be 82 years old in 2024– and the revulsive device of former President Trump to shake up domestic politics in the scenario of polarization due to the ideological radicalization of the Republicans and the return to his proposals for the manifest destiny of his foundation. The internal environment in the United States has reached the point of seriously debating the climate of civil war between sectors of the progressive center and the fundamentalist radicalism of the Republican extreme right that is further to the right of imperial neoconservatism,
The internal redefinitions have affected the Republican Party to get it out of its old anti-fiscal agenda and imperial domination of the exterior and lead it to the current struggle of the extreme right to return to the times before the sixties in which the entire agenda of type was given progressive social and rights policy for minorities and non-property citizens.
The new republican agenda takes up with greater ferocity issues such as individual ownership of weapons and, above all, the meaning of the Second Constitutional Amendment so that citizens can create armed militias in defense of their interests, today presenting as an example the case of organizations conservative radicals who have armed militias to violently combat migrants who cross US borders without going through legal regulations.
President Biden has taken a strategic turn in his priorities and now everything has to do with his personal strengthening, the question of the Democrats and the central objective of undermining Trump’s Republican wing, with decisions that have distorted internal balances such as, for For example, the support programs for local consumers with artificial money that has triggered inflation to a ceiling of 9% and that is being fought by the Federal Reserve with continuous increases in interest rates to withdraw money from circulation that generates inflation.
In this context, the new management of the Mexico-United States agenda was located, leaving the serious points of friction and confrontation that were poisoning bilateral relations on the issues of migration, drug trafficking and trade agreements, although with indications that it is not about a new policy but of an impasse that reduces tensions between the two countries and prevents President López Obrador from continuing to use his personal relationship with Trump as a way to weaken President Biden’s decisions.
Some analysts begin to find this explanation of the internal electoral agenda in these signs of operational and strategic distancing of the United States from the war in Ukraine so as not to turn Russia into a US political-electoral problem and transfer the geostrategic confrontation to just speeches of non-decisive frictions with China, as a way to maintain hegemonic foreign policy in rhetoric and not in a war that has entered a zone of uncertainty.
President Biden is being launched as the only figure capable of now deactivating the political capacity of former President Donald Trump and, if necessary, confronting him with a relative advantage at the polls in November 2024, especially due to the collapse of expectations that had Vice President Kamala Harris was awakened at the time and today appears erased from the power bloc represented by President Biden, even with indications that she lacks the strength to confront Trump.
The internal situation in the United States in its political and social aspects is at levels of serious crisis due to the way in which Trump has managed to reactivate the conservative groups that are moved by racist dynamics, leading the neoconservative debate on fiscal policy and foreign policy to a new balance of social currents that are overflowing the limits of institutional control of the State.
President Biden has little time left to regain his advantage and prevent the Republicans from achieving a majority in the House of Representatives, the Senate and in the state governorships, but with the greater fact that the Republican electoral pivot is former President Trump campaigning personally by conservative candidates of their social and racial radicalism and who until now have begun to show signs of electoral advantage.
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President Biden has just a month and a half to turn the polls around and prevent Trump from strengthening or prepare to hand over the keys to the White House to his predecessor again.
The content of this column is the sole responsibility of the columnist and not the newspaper that publishes it.
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