Day of changing warnings on the Mediterranean coast. After lowering the red alert to yellow in Almería, now the State Meteorological Agency (Aemet) has raised the danger to the maximum in the area of Cullera, Gandía and Alzira. Thus, almost the entire Spanish east coast, in addition to the Strait of Gibraltar, is painted with DANA alerts that experts have already warned would be present throughout this Sunday.
Specifically, the Aemet states in the statement that in the area of the southern Valencian coast “high intensity storms may occur in the next few hours: more than 90 l/m² in one hour”, although they reduce the tension by stating that, ” In principle, they will not be very persistent showers. Even so, they urge extreme caution and describe the situation as “extreme danger.”
RED NOTICE | Southern coast of Valencia.
High intensity storms may occur in this area in the next few hours: more than 90 l/m² in one hour. In principle, they will not be very persistent showers.
Extreme danger. Be very careful! pic.twitter.com/OalHxQCxcZ
— AEMET (@AEMET_Esp) November 3, 2024
According to forecasts, DANA could disappear early this week; However, the calm will be short-lived, as another cold spell is expected from Thursday.
The difficulty of predicting DANA
The precision of prediction models in the case of phenomena such as DANA is reduced to one week in advance, although to be accurate and know exactly the location, the time is reduced to one or two days. «You can know what will happen, although not how much rain it will leave, far from it. This is seen as the deadline approaches,” Rubén del Campo, Aemet spokesperson, explained to ABC.
Because DANA are a phenomenon that is difficult to predict due to their particular chaotic nature: “To sum it up, they have an erratic movement, so weather prediction models are not able to accurately predict where they are going to go until a short time later.” before”.
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