Cuba could be the scene of rebellions of considerable magnitude in the short term, according to a report by the Cuban Conflict Observatory (OCC) released on Tuesday (05), which highlights that there were 258 protests in the country in June, eleven more than in the previous year. same month in 2021.
The document considers that the possibility of “one or several rebellions of considerable magnitude is extremely high in the short term, whether or not they occur in July”.
The report by the OCC, an autonomous civil society project supported by the US-based Foundation for Human Rights in Cuba, highlights that Havana continues to believe that “without solving the hell of everyday life, it will prevent further rebellions by cutting off communications between insubordinate potential”.
In June, protests motivated by economic and social rights predominated for the second time, totaling 175 (68%), while 83 (32%) focused on political and civil rights.
The OCC indicates that, in fact, the biggest increase was in the protests of economic and social rights, 62% more than in the previous month.
The report also points out that, since July 11, 2021, when Cuba had the biggest anti-government protests in its recent history, the government “has demonstrated, with its immobility, that it does not understand that popular consent to the system has been exhausted”.
“These circumstances, together with the sudden death of General (Luis Alberto Rodríguez) López-Calleja and the ever-closer eventuality of the death of former leader Raúl Castro, mean that new scenarios of social rebellion could open up in the coming months,” warn the text.
The document says that the rebellions could assume “violent tones in the increasingly deteriorated Cuban reality”, creating conditions for a rupture in the chain of command of the Ministry of the Revolutionary Armed Forces (Minfar) and the Ministry of the Interior (Minint) if there are units that refuse to repress them.
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