There are two days left to know the results of the awards oscars 2022 but, naturally, the audience has already almost defined which film will take the glory. However, it never hurts to review the odds of some bookmakers and the opinion of critics to have a more varied perspective of the case.
Just like last year, Metacritic released the combined forecasts of 60 experts and compared them to those of a group of voters on the site. According to the website, at the 2021 Oscars they managed to predict the winners in 17 of 23 categories correctly (73.9% correct).
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The experts vs. voters
The Oscar for best film is the category that, without a doubt, generates the greatest expectation. What is interesting about this dispute is the wide difference between the forecast of the experts versus that of the audience: for the first group, “CODA” leads widely with 61%, followed by “The Power of the Dog” with 36%. “West Side Story” and “Belfast” they complete the podium with 2% each.
On the contrary, 60% of voters consider that “The Power of the Dog” will be the winner of the Oscar 2022. It follows her well below “dune” with 11%, “Belfast” with 7% and “Licorice Pizza” with the remaining 5%. AND “CODA”? Sian Heder’s movie doesn’t seem to be an option for Metacritic’s general audience.
The fees
At bet365 bookmaker, “The Power of the Dog” (1.90) is the favorite by a small margin with respect to “CODA” (2.00). With a much higher fee, “Belfast” pay 15.00 as the third favorite, and from then on the numbers of the other nominees point to the blow: “West Side Story” (41.00), “dune” (51.00), “King Richard: A Winning Family” (51.00), “Don’t look up” (101.00), “Drive My Car” (101.00), “Licorice Pizza” (101.00) and “The Alley of Lost Souls” (151.00).
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Other categories and statistics
Similarly, in the remaining categories of the Oscars 2022, bet365 odds and predictions from both experts and Metacritic voters are as follows:
- Best Director: Jane Campion (1.03) – Jane Campion [expertos] (96%) – Jane Campion [votantes] (69%)
- Best Actor: Will Smith (1.10) – Will Smith [expertos] (93%) – Benedict Cumberbatch/Will Smith [votantes] (38%)
- Best actress: Jessica Chastain (1.57) – Jessica Chastain [expertos] (83%) – Kristen Stewart [votantes] (40%)
- Best Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur (1.22) – Troy Kotsur [expertos] (98%) – Kodi Smit-McPhee [votantes] (46%)
- Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose [expertos] (93%) – Ariana DeBose [votantes] (46%)
- Best montage: “Dune” (1.80) – “Dune” [expertos] (69%) – “Dune” [votantes] (55%)
- Best Photography: “Dune” (1.20) – “Dune” [expertos] (76%) – “Dune” [votantes] (55%)
- Best makeup and hair: “Dune” (1.28) – “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” [expertos] (98%) – “Dune” [votantes] (33%)
- Best Adapted Screenplay: “CODA” (1.44) – “CODA” [expertos] (63%) – “The power of the dog” [votantes] (fifty%)
- Best Original Screenplay: “Licorice Pizza” (2.00) – “Belfast” [expertos] (49%) – “Licorice Pizza” [votantes] (44%)
- Best foreign film: “Drive My Car” (1.04) – “Drive My Car” [expertos] (94%) – “Drive My Car” [votantes] (79%)
- Best animated film: “Charm” (1.08) – “Charm” [expertos] (86%) – “Charm” [votantes] (59%)
- Best Costume Design: “Cruella” (1.16) – “Cruella” [expertos] (85%) – “Dune” [votantes] (35%)
- Best soundtrack: “dune” [expertos] (81%) – “Dune” [votantes] (66%)
- Best Original Song: “No Time to Die” (1.36) – “No Time to Die” [expertos] (65%) – “No Time to Die” [votantes] (53%)
- Best Sound: “dune” [expertos] (90%) – “Dune” [votantes] (75%)
- Best Visual Effects: “Dune” (1.04) – “Dune” [expertos] (90%) – “Dune” [votantes] (79%)
- Best Documentary Feature Film: “Summer of Soul” [expertos] (86%) – “Summer of Soul” [votantes] (44%)
- Best Documentary Short Film: “The Queen of Basketball” [expertos] (70%) – “The Queen of Basketball” [votantes] (32%)
- Best short film: “The Long Goodbye” [expertos] (77%) – “The Long Goodbye” [votantes] (44%)
- Best animated short film: “Robin-Robin” [expertos] (77%) – “Robin-Robin” [votantes] (37%)
On the other hand, the ranking for multiple nominations at the Oscars 2022 is as follows:
“The power of the dog” (12); “Dune” (10), “Belfast” and “West Side Story” (7); “King Richard: A Winning Family” (6); “Don’t Look Up”, “Drive My Car” and “The Alley of Lost Souls” (4); “All About the Ricardos”, “CODA”, “Encanto”, “Flee”, “Licorice Pizza”, “The Dark Daughter”, “No Time to Die” and “The Tragedy of Mcbeth” (3); “Cruella”, “The Eyes of Tammy Faye”, “Parallel Mothers”, “Tick, Tick… Boom!” and “The worst person in the world” (2).
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