New government, first the League must understand which soul to choose
Obvious electoral data lead us to consider that Giorgia Meloni should soon be received at the Quirinale for President Mattarella to probe the hypothesis of a government led by the leader of the Brothers of Italy. Around her, the Lega is the only breakfast party that strongly accuses the electoral coup. In a way, always on Italian business (with the editorial of last July 24), Salvini’s minority management had been foretold.
Net of forecasts, the die is cast and first of all the budget is at stake to be launched and resolved by December. Reason why the birth of the new government could delay for obvious reasons of statebut also by the majority since, as is well known, the Minister of the Economy must be very welcome at Colle and give guarantees, in terms of profile, on the European and international (obviously Western) front.
“The more it hangs, the more it yields” is the typical phrase of the litigation world. Paradoxically, it could also apply in this political situation if only one thinks of the fact that the dispute in Salvini’s League develops in at least two directions: one embraced by Lega Nord, the other to the Lega for Salvini premier. Maroni and Castelli, in the aftermath of the electoral outcome, immediately asked for the opening of the Northern League political secretariat crisis. Yes, but which of the two souls are we talking about?
Because depending on the direction of analysis, Salvini could affirm that the reduction of the League to a minority force in the center-right coalition depended directly on the pro-governmentism induced by Giorgetti and Zaia. Vice versajust as cunningly Salvini would put those who ask for his head on Pontida’s plate at the opposite corner because if the latter is still alive (see the registered participation in the September demonstration before the vote) it is precisely because of the absence from the front lines of the tandem he is asking for, covertly, the resignation itself. This ballerina phase would imply that Salvini can claim that all parliamentarians are nationally, while the feverish for the conquest of the secretariat are the remnants of the first Bossian League (ie the Northern League). Both ways, however, not so much weaken Salvini’s bargaining power in the next government because, from now on, the parliamentarians count and not the votes.
Thus an endogenous dualism could open up in the Lega world: the “secession of the secessionists”; the historical ones to be understood, today, dressed in differentiated hyper-autonomism. Framed the moment of the League, we keep in mind the majority numbers: al Senateremoved the scents for life, the differential will be just over thirty (as reported by the chessboard of pagellapolitica.it). So, there is a hypothesis that should affect the streets between Palazzo Chigi, Montecitorio and Palazzo Madama: given the difficulties of composition, Giorgia Meloni, should the Head of State obviously ask for it, should seek further enlargement for reasons of social stability. of the country with respect to the crucial nature of the moment. Indicated number one would be the bridegroom Matteo Renzi who for further institutional response to the Colle he could not say niet to the call of responsibility thus becoming the direct line to bring the whole area into play Calenda (which has not recovered former iron fighters and dragonmen).
You could then have a twist or more than one: Daggers he remains at Palazzo Chigi up to the financial one while the Lega breaks down into two vertical levels of dialogue (the parliamentary one, the regionalistic one); otherwise Giorgia Meloni goes up to the Quirinale to have the task of forming the government and with the split of the League upstream it resists until July / September next to mortgage, at least, next year’s finance company; Meanwhile Berlusconi and Renzi prepare a large liberal, reformist and democratic container, as an emergency or contingency buffer (depending on the point of view), in order to create the second mandate of Government Melonian until the Lega runs out of its return to its origins and / or the national Salvinians will not enter the dimension of the Oltre Po ‘(a sort of Salvini plank) in order not to remain nailed to Pontida.
Who knows that sooner or later we will not find ourselves at all Matteo Renzi at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (for example) in a government that is preparing to swear allegiance to Washington and, therefore, it needs to overcome the chronic indecision to homogenize an area of liberals, conservatives and reformists. On the banks of the Tiber (beyond the Po) this is what people start thinking about after Mattarella. What does that have to do with anything? S.i ask Mario Draghi where the outgoing government is stuck. Right there, at the beginning of the climb that goes from Piazza Colonna to the Quirinale. While the country is waiting to figure out how to pay the bill. Savory.
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