Schlein Conte Meloni Salvini Tajani Calenda
European elections, FdI aims to hold 26%. Optimism in the Democratic Party. AND…
A week until the polls open due to the wait European elections. As is known, the dissemination of polls is prohibited but within the parties they continue to think and study the trends. The starting point is the data from the September 2022 Policies.
In home Brothers of Italy now no one talks about 30% anymore, a remote hypothesis, and, as Giorgia Meloni has said several times, the objective that seems within reach is to confirm 26%. But there is some fear of remaining below this percentage, even if not by much.
Remaining in the center-right, there is a cautious optimism at home League. Matteo Salvini aims to overcome the meager result of the Politicians even if many hope that the Northern League’s figure will be in double figures and above all that the League remains the second force of the majority coalition ahead of Forza Italia. Three elements give Salvini hope: the general’s candidacy Roberto Vannacci which could steal right-wing votes from FdI, the regional autonomy which will be voted on in the Chamber immediately the vote as a “gift” especially to the Venetian electorate and Salvini’s very popular Save-Home plan skilfully approved as a decree and immediately in force just before the elections.
Antonio Tajani continues to talk about 10% as the objective but the Ligurian judicial storm that has overwhelmed the Governor Giovanni Toti could penalize us Moderates allies of the Azzurri. The 10% objective remains but some fears are starting to creep in.
In the headquarters of PD Optimism is confirmed despite the controversy over the words of the independent candidate Marco Tarquinio on “Nato to be overcome”. The objective of 20% – they say in the Dem house – is within reach and some even hope for 21-22%, coming very close to FdI.
In the 5 Star Movement they are sure they will do very well in the South by intercepting the vote of citizens’ income orphans, but they also know that in the North the situation is very different. And therefore the hope of overtaking the Democratic Party has faded and Giuseppe Conte’s Party would be satisfied with 15%. Below this percentage would be a disappointing result.
Among other formations, optimism in United States of Europe by Matteo Renzi and Emma Bonino on exceeding the 4% threshold and some concerns at home Action and in theGreen Left Alliance. Freedom by Cateno De Luca hopes for the miracle of 4% but even 3 would be a great result.
Finally, the inevitable decline inturnout, which experts estimate at around 50%. Who will it hit with respect to Policies? This is truly a great unknown that could prove decisive.
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