The latest epidemiological data on coronavirus in Italy “indicate a significant acceleration in the spread of infections which, all things being equal, could lead 5 regions to exceed the weekly incidence rate threshold of 250 cases per 100 thousand in two weeks: they are (Veneto, Friuli Venezia-Giulia, Valle d’Aosta, Liguria and the autonomous province of Bolzano. Another 8 will have an incidence above 150 cases per 100 thousand “. This is the estimate of the Association’s ‘Made’ working group Italian of Epidemiology (Aie).
The latest monitoring report of the Higher Institute of Health (Iss), relating to the week of November 1-7, “records a rapid and generalized increase in the number of new cases of Sars-Cov-2 infection, which is also accompanied by an increase in hospital admissions “, continues the AIE. The GDR diagnostic replication index at national level, estimated by the AIE on the data of November 13, is equal to 1.42 and higher than unity in all regions. “In the early stages of growth of the epidemic curve, the incidence increased first in the pediatric age groups, particularly in subjects under the age of 12 “, but the data of the last week analyzed by the AIE working group for surveillance of the Covid-19 incidence “show that now all age groups are affected by an increase in positive cases“.
Between priority for the management of the current pandemic phase “the prevention of infections among people under the age of 12, for which vaccination is not yet available, both to protect them from contagions and to avoid situations that can interrupt school continuity and again damage relational life “, are some of the recommendations of the AIE for the management of the Covid emergency.
“Compared to last autumn, the relaxation of some preventive measures is leading to an increase in the incidence of flu syndromes, particularly in the 0-4 age group, which certainly complicates and aggravates the diagnostic classification and case management work “, warns the AIE.
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