England faces 50,000 deaths a year from covid. This is the scenario that Professor Andrea Crisanti outlines in the light of the data of the last few weeks. “In England there are 50-60,000 cases a day and perhaps they are even underestimated. England has struck a kind of balance between vaccine-induced protection and the ability of the virus to spread in the absence of any precautionary measures. They are paying a price. very high price with 160-180 deaths a day, a huge amount. It means 50,000 deaths a year “, says Crisanti in Piazzapulita.
“In total, England has about 600,000 deaths a year: 10% would be caused by a communicable and potentially preventable disease, it seems to me a lot. I don’t think this can be sustained in the long term. In Italy 50,000 deaths a year for a communicable disease take us back to a situation of 100 years ago, “he adds.
“In Italy most of the population was vaccinated between April and July, we are protected because we are within a window of 6-7 months from vaccination. The data show that the protection against infection after 6 months drops from 90% to 45 % and the one against complications drops from 95% to 65%: this is not raining. If we want to reduce transmission, we have to give the third dose to the whole population, it is a question of establishing a goal “, he says again.
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