The South American qualifier for the 2026 North American World Cup begins on Thursday, the first to be played with 48 teams. Thus, six out of ten teams from the area (half plus one!) will obtain a direct place in the tournament, so it is believed that the zonal dispute will stop being fierce and will be a mogollo qualifier, a piece of cake for Colombia.Lies!(Colombian National Team: and, perhaps, what did they expect? (Meluk tells him…)).
How many points are needed to land non-stop in North America?
To the facts: until the last World Cup, counting the five qualifiers with ten participating teams under the two-round round-robin competition system, 27 points were calculated as the limit to obtain one of the four direct qualifying places. In other words, the basic account of success was to win all the games that were played at home.
Clarification: the qualifiers for the World Cups in France 1998 and Brazil 2014 cannot be counted for this purpose because they were played with nine teams, both without Brazil, which did not play the qualifiers for France 1998 because they were current world champions (last time this happened ), nor for Brazil 2014 for being the host country of the World Cup.
Now, when the number of direct qualifiers has been increased to six –two more– for the area, How many points are needed to land non-stop in North America?
(This was the fatal accident in which a young pilot died in the middle of the Tocancipá Autodrome).
He said that it is believed that it is easy to classify now, especially in our country of enlarged football, which is believed to be the last coca-cola in the desert. Quick review, to get to the facts: in the qualifier for the World Cup in South Korea and Japan in 2002, sixth place was occupied by… Colombia!, with 27 points, the same as fifth, but with a goal less difference. And 27 points are all: heh heh! The seventh that time was Bolivia, far, with 18 points.
In the qualifying round for Germany 2006, sixth place was taken by… Colombia, again!, with 24 points. The seventh was Chile, with 22.
In the South Africa 2010 qualifying round, sixth place went to Ecuador, with 23 points. Seventh place was taken by… ¡Colombia!, with the same 23 points, but with 8 fewer goals in the difference.
For Russia 2018, Chile finished sixth, with 26 points (many!), and Paraguay was seventh with 24 points.
And for Qatar 2022, sixth place went again to… Colombia!, with 23 points. Seventh place was occupied by Chile, with 23.
Colombia, in those six qualifiers, has been sixth three times and seventh once! What a scare! Let’s measure ourselves in our little clothes.
(The last message from Leydy, the young pilot who died at the Tocancipá Autodrome).
Chuck!
The historical average of points for the sixth place in the South American qualifying round is, then, 24.6which is summarized in that the minimum calculation of points to qualify is 25 (the decimal is above five) or, as is usually applied in soccer, 24 points and a tiebreaker in favor.
Glup! 25 points are less than a game with the previous theoretical limit to qualify directly for the World Cup. Less, yes, but it won’t be that easy. The margin of error is not as wide as one might suppose. I repeat: from the outset and on the historical average, the run on the border that separates the classification from the elimination is less than one game as we came…
Mogollo? Chuck!
GABRIEL MELUK
SPORTS EDITOR EL TIEMPO
@MelukLeCuenta
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