Current mayor should be supported by Lula; Tarcísio Motta (Psol), with 9%, and Ramagem (PL), with 7%, appear tied in 2nd place
A survey released this Friday (June 5, 2024) by Datafolha indicates that the current mayor of Rio de Janeiro, Eduardo Paes (PSD) has soared in voting intentions and now has 53%. He will count on the support of the president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) in this year’s municipal elections.
The federal deputy Tarcisio Motta (Psol), with 9%, the candidate supported by the former president Jair Bolsonaro, Delegate Ramagem (PL), with 7%, Juliet Panjota (UP) and Cyro Garcia (PSTU), both with 3%, are technically tied within the margin of error of 3 percentage points.
Here is the 1st stimulated scenario of the 1st round:
- Eduardo Paes (PSD): 53%;
- Tarcisio Motta (PSOL): 9%;
- Delegate Ramagem (PL): 7%;
- Juliete Panjota (UP): 3%;
- Cyro Garcia (PSTU): 3%;
- Rodrigo Amorim (Union Brazil): 2%;
- Marcelo Queiroz (PP): 2%;
- Dani Balbi (PCdoB): 1%;
- Carol Sponza (New): 0%;
- none/blank/null: 14%;
- don’t know/didn’t answer: 5%.
The survey was conducted by Datafolha from July 2 to 4, 2024. 840 people aged 16 or over were interviewed in Rio. The confidence interval is 95%. The margin of error is 3 percentage points, either way. The survey is registered with the TSE under number RJ-06701/2024.
ANOTHER SCENARIO
Datafolha also tested a scenario with fewer candidates, removing Rodrigo Amorim (Brazil Union), Marcelo Queiroz (PP) and Dani Balbi (PCdoB).
Here are the numbers:
- Eduardo Paes (PSD): 55%;
- Tarcisio Motta (PSOL): 10%;
- Delegate Ramagem (PL): 7%;
- Juliete Panjota (UP): 3%;
- Cyro Garcia (PSTU): 4%;
- Marcelo Queiroz (PP): 2%;
- Carol Sponza (New): 1%;
- none/blank/null: 15%;
- don’t know/didn’t answer: 5%.
According to the company that carried out the survey, the cost of the study was R$87,484.96. The amount was paid by the company Folha da Manhã.
RESEARCH AGGREGATOR
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