Even though there are no definitive results of the election for the legislative chamberspolitical analysts consider that if Brunette achieve the qualified majority, it would be to grant the absolute power of the country.
In this sense, Alexandro Méndez, columnist for EL DEBATE, highlighted that if the trend of votes cast by the Preliminary Electoral Results Program, Claudia Sheinbaum He will have everything to be able to build his government platform and to promote the legislative initiatives that he considers necessary.
However, he added, he must be responsible in his handling of power to avoid falling into excesses and guarantee that all voices are heard.
Analysis
The Morena, Verde and PT coalition parties would reach at least 346 of the 500 seats in the Chamber of Deputies and 76 of the 128 seats in the Senate, according to the quick count carried out by the National Electoral Institute (INE). This gives the coalition a supermajority, which could make it easier to pass its proposals without much opposition.
The opposition, with its low representation, he added, is going to face a complicated period. “It is crucial that parties do not destroy the mechanisms that allowed them to come to power. Eliminating checks and balances can weaken democracy and erode public trust in institutions. Therefore, a balanced congress is essential to ensure that all voices are heard and decisions are made with a broad consensus, not just based on the majority,” explained Alexandro Méndez.
For his part, EL DEBATE columnist Esteban Quintero highlighted that regarding the composition of the Chambers, it is still too early to talk about definitive numbers.
With the quick count data from these days, everything indicates that Morena would obtain a qualified majority in both chambers; However, with the advance of the PREP, Morena and allies would lack about four seats in the Senate to reach the qualified majority necessary to approve constitutional reforms.
Likewise, he said, it will be necessary to wait for the district count, as well as the count of 60 percent of the installed boxes, as declared by the INE.
This, without a doubt, he added, should modify the integration of the chambers, especially with respect to the seats and seats of proportional representation.
On the other hand, regarding the coalition with which Morena reaches the possible majority in the chambers, he said,
I would not be so sure of the unconditional loyalty of the Green Party to the 4T project, according to the results at the moment and those projected, the PV could play the role of a hinge party, so it could sell dearly its love for Morena and vote in some cases in line with the opposition, he added.
The triumph
Meanwhile, the analyst with extensive experience in legislative advice, Joaquín Miranda, highlighted that the overwhelming victory of Brunette who got the Presidency; six governorships; the Head of Government of Mexico City; qualified majority in the Chamber of Deputies and simple majority in the Senate, could be explained with three factors: the desire for continuity of the so-called second floor of the transformation, the grievance towards the democratic transition regime and the profile of the opposition.
On the first point, he said, the great popularity of the president, as well as the most tangible results of his government, such as the increase in the minimum wage and the reduction of poverty, obtain an endorsement to continue another six-year term.
Regarding the grievance towards the democratic transition regime, he explained that starting in 2018, the historic defeat of the PRI, PAN and PRD put the institutional apparatus of the Mexican State created and consolidated since 1997 on the ropes.
“Their mistakes, the corruption scandals, the victims of the war on drug trafficking, among others, implied that this model of democracy due to its inability to convert deliberation and free competition into governments. López Obrador’s six-year term was, in the same vein, mediocre, but the few successes added to control of the political agenda allowed him to consolidate a party-movement that represents those aggrieved by the transitional Mexican political system that, starting today, go dead”.
Finally, he explained, Mexico is a deeply unequal country with pronounced wounds about the historical disadvantage faced by disadvantaged social classes. “Although Xóchitl Gálvez is a Mexican of indigenous origin, with a history of self-improvement through effort, and Sheinbaum grew up with class privileges, it was not enough to remove the mark from the opposition of being racist, classist, homophobic and conservative. . “This false generalization, confirmed by some cadres, made it impossible to attract an electorate that was not anti-AMLO,” she added.
Opinion
In contrast, Karla Doig Alvear, also a columnist for EL DEBATE, pointed out that Morena’s triumph is a sign of democracy.
He said that Mexico has placed its trust in the party in power to continue governing and this represents an opportunity to reverse reforms that harmed everyone, as well as the opportunity to carry out far-reaching social reforms that had not been carried out in governments of right that have historically governed in Mexico.
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