On the same day that the leader of the indigenous youth of Rondônia, Txai Suruí, 24 years old, Brazilian and bilingual, was speaking in Glasgow, Scotland, during COP 26, an indicator in Brazil proved that the Brazilian neglect denounced by her on the other side of the world would have direct (and immediate) impacts on the construction of our wealth. The water crisis, the worst in nine decades, will take R$ 22.4 billion from the Brazilian GDP between 2021 and 2022, in addition to ending 456 thousand jobs. On social networks, those who called Rondonia an opportunist and “Tupiniquim imitation of Greta [Thunberg]”, must have missed the revealing survey by the National Confederation of Industry (CNI) on water scarcity and its economic impacts.
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Faced with the biggest water crisis in the last 90 years, the increase in the price of the electricity bill was inevitable, and its effects will already be felt now. It is estimated that this year’s GDP will lose R$ 8.2 billion due to higher energy prices. Electricity inflation will also be responsible for eliminating 166,000 jobs by the end of the year and another 290,000 next year. And the problems don’t stop there. CNI also predicted an impact of R$ 14.2 billion on GDP for next year. In industry, the direct impact of the energy price is felt both in the purchase of input and in the price of production.
Within households, the expectation for this year is that families will lose BRL 7 billion in purchasing power, and in 2022 that figure will jump to BRL 12.1 billion. Exports, on the other hand, will have losses equivalent to R$2.9 billion in 2021 and R$5.2 billion next year. CNI also estimates that the tariff flag has a weight of 13.23% in the total household electricity bill. According to the confederation’s calculations, household electricity bills will rise 6.77% in 2021 and 18.8% in 2022, with the creation of the “water scarcity” banner and the readjustments of energy tariffs. “The total increase of 127.5% [em 2021] the tariff flag should reflect a 16.87% increase in household electricity bills compared to the initial value of the red flag level 2”, calculates the institution. And if the bigwigs with white heads who develop public policies in Brazil thought more like Txai Suruí and less like a 1970s capitalist, perhaps we would not have reached this point. “The Earth is talking. She tells us that we don’t have any more time. We need to take another path with bold and global changes. It’s not 2030 or 2050, it’s now.”
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