The official candidate Claudia Sheinbaum will be the new president of Mexico, after achieving 59% of the votes, beating Xóchitl Gálvez (28%) and Jorge Álvarez Máynez (11%). Below we analyze their results by region and among different groups of voters.
More men supported the first female president of Mexico
According to data from Áltica’s latest pre-election survey, 56% of women and up to 62% of men would have voted for Sheinbaum. A similar balance was portrayed in the Atlas Intel polls, with even less weight from the female electorate.
Women gave more support to Máynez (12%) compared to men (10%), who was the only man in the electoral race.
Sheinbaum received resounding support from all generations
Morena’s candidate exceeds 50% in all age groups and has transversal support. Her worst result would have been among younger voters, who are the most diverse group in her preference.
22% of those under 29 years of age supported Xóchitl Gálvez and 21% supported Jorge Máynez, who had focused his campaign on that group. In fact, according to the pollster Atlas Intel, only 3% of those over 45 were going to vote for the Citizen Movement candidate.
Aguascalientes, the only state that did not surrender to Morena
The hydrocalid vote was the only one that gave victory to Gálvez. In Mexico City, which Sheinbaum governed until his presidential race, he took more than 50% of the ballots. In Nuevo León and Jalisco, the strongholds of the Citizen Movement, it only took just over 40% of the votes.
In Tabasco and Oaxaca, trust in Morena exceeded 80%.
Among people with university education the election was even
Sheinbaum swept among Mexicans with basic education, achieving two out of every three votes in that group. Among people with higher education, however, his and Gálvez’s support would have been practically tied.
Adults with basic education—up to secondary school—are 56% of the population, according to OECD data in 2022.
Gálvez only comes close to Sheinbaum in the highest incomes
Sheinbaum wins in all groups, but his support drops among those with higher incomes.
Gálvez’s is the opposite case, even clearer: it goes from 24% among the lowest incomes to 44% among the highest.
Sheinbaum wins in all professions, except between bosses and employers
According to Áltica data, Sheinbaum achieved its best results, above 60%, among housewives, retirees, self-employed workers, farmers, professors and teachers. On the other hand, Xóchitl Gálvez stands out among employers, the unemployed and professionals.
As the age data suggested, Jorge Máynez achieves his best results among students.
Sheinbaum sweeps Morena voters more strongly than Gálvez among the parties in his coalition
Morena retained 93% of its 2021 voters in the legislative elections. She also voted for Sheinbaum, 83% of the voters of the Labor Party, and 62% of those of the Green Party, the two formations in the coalition of the official candidate.
The opponent Morena retained 93% of its 2021 voters in the legislative elections. She also voted for Sheinbaum, 83% of the voters of the Labor Party, and 62% of those of the Green Party, the two formations in the coalition of the official candidate.
The opponent
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