What does Jorge Martín need to be world champion?

If a catastrophe does not happen, Jorge Martín will become the fifth Spanish driver this Sunday to win the World Championship in the premier class after Alex Crivillé, Jorge Lorenzo, Marc Márquez and Joan Mir. The Madrid native took the lead at Motorland at the beginning of September after unseating Pecco Bagnaia with a victory in the sprint and also in the long race in Aragón. Since then, not only has he not left first place, but he has been increasing the distance in the classification. San Marino, Misano, Indonesia, Japan, Australia, Thailand, Malaysia and Barcelona have confirmed the superiority of the pilot of the Premium Pramacwho is also 24 laps away from equaling the feat of Valentino Rossi, the last driver to win a championship with a satellite team.

The numbers do not deceive and favor Martín this Sunday, which is practically enough for him to finish on the asphalt. To begin with, Bagnaia only has two chances to be champion and they are first or second. Any other result would leave him out even if Martín did not finish the race, since the 19-point advantage would be insurmountable.

Let’s analyze the possibilities. If Bagnaia wins the race he would add 498 points, so for Martín, who has 492, it would be enough to achieve seven points. That is, a ninth place. If the Italian were second, he would have 493 points, so Martinator would only have to add two points, something that is achieved by entering in 14th position. If Bagnaia is third or worse, the Spaniard would automatically be world champion. It must be taken into account that if both ended tying on points The champion would be Pecco, since he is the one who has won the most races on Sundays. The Italian adds ten to the Madrid’s three.

Martín had a new match point this Saturday after the one played fifteen days ago in Malaysia but Bagnaia saved it by winning the sprint race, also reducing the Spaniard’s advantage to 19 points. However, the difference seems very difficult to overcome for the Italian. This Sunday, Montmeló will hand down the sentence.