After approximately two years of the La Niña phenomenon, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA, for its acronym in English) revealed Thursday that there are high probabilities for the El Niño phenomenon to develop this summer; that is, between May and July this climatic event caused by the warming of the Pacific Ocean could develop.
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According to the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (Ideam), the effects of El Niño are notable in the north of the Pacific region, the departments of the Andean region and in the departments of the Caribbean region.
NOAA warned this Thursday that there is a 62% probability that the El Niño phenomenon will develop between May and July of this year.
The US climate authority issues a watch when conditions are favorable for the development of El Niño in the next six months.
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“Although we are still in a neutral phase, in which there is no presence of either El Niño or La Niña, there is a 62% chance that El Niño will develop sometime between May and July,” NOAA warns in your statement.
For his part, he Ideam warns that there is a 70% probability that it will arrive by the end of this year.
An El Niño Watch (!) has been issued by @NWSCPC which means that conditions are favorable for the development of El Niño within the next 6 months. In fact, there’s a 62% chance of El Niño conditions for the May–July period.
For more, head to the ENSO Bloghttps://t.co/lcgh1yhoCv pic.twitter.com/WH2IPY6WxI— NOAA Climate.gov (@NOAAClimate) April 13, 2023
Despite the weather forecast, Authorities maintain that the phenomenon of El Niño Costero has already been consolidating.
“We are practically already in a Coastal Child, we are already in full consolidation of a Coastal Child (…) The warming began months ago and will continue this warming until the end of July And as a result of this Coastal Child, we have this recurrence and this magnitude of extremely heavy rains in the north,” said the coordinator of the National Emergency Operations Center (COEN), Ricardo Pajares in Peru.
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NOAA has just launched an El Niño watch alert, which could start between May or June 2023. Let’s remember that El Niño brings drought, warm marine waters that affect fisheries. pic.twitter.com/Q2qrcNBXQ3
— Marco L. Díaz V. (@MarcoLDazV1) April 13, 2023
Likewise, the Climate authorities in Colombia remain on alert despite reduction in fires in recent weather assessments
Forest fires in the country fell by 34% in the first quarter of this year, but alerts remain on due to the El Niño phenomenon which, according to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology bulletin, could be characterized by very high temperatures in the region Central Pacific, close to the equator.
In addition, a total of 835 municipalities of the 1,120 that Colombia has are susceptible to water shortages in the middle of the rainy season.
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