There are only three places left to qualify for the home runs: these are the options

Xpecta Sports, a firm that analyzes the League panorama from the point of view of probabilities, gives Once Caldas the highest percentage of options to qualify (88 percent). Second place is Millonarios (69.6); third, to Junior (61.1); fourth, to Medellín (50.7), and fifth, to América (23.5).

According to these calculations, the Fortaleza and Águilas Doradas options are much more complicated: 4.7 and 2.8 percent, respectively. And they even give Atlético Nacional a very distant option, 0.9 percent. The top five in the table, for Xpecta, are already 100 percent classified.

Today, the outlook looks like they can qualify with 28 points, but needing a good goal difference. But the large number of surprising results in recent days has meant that the demands may be different on the last day.

Before date 17, in Xpecta's calculations, Medellín barely had a 24.5 percent chance of entering. The victory against Patriotas, the defeat of Junior and the draw of América increased his percentage.

There are many direct duels in the two remaining dates. Like those of Once Caldas, which will be led by two of the candidates (Junior, today in Barranquilla, and América, on the last date in Manizales). Or the match on the last day between Águilas Doradas and Fortaleza, in Rionegro.

The first two places in the standings are also at stake, which will be final in the home runs in the event of a tie. Today they are occupied by Tolima and Bucaramanga, but the defeat of the latter against Boyacá Chicó, this Friday, expanded the bouquet and gave air to Santa Fe, Pereira and Equidad.

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