The United States is reviewing its relationship with Saudi Arabia, as the White House admitted on Tuesday, to decide what the ties should be in the future with a country that has been its best ally in the Arab world but with which mutual mistrust is growing. The decision of the oil producers led by Riyadh and grouped in the so-called OPEC + last week in Vienna to cut world production by around 2%, two million barrels, has been the last straw.
That decision of the 13 OPEC member countries and ten other producers, including Russia, has hurt the US government. For months he had courted and pressured the regime of Prince Mohamed bin Salman from all angles, including a controversial visit by US President Joe Biden, for Saudi Arabia to increase production. The cut, on the other hand, favors Russia, which is dependent on foreign oil sales to prop up its economy and defray the costs of its invasion of Ukraine. In the US Democratic government, Riyadh’s gesture has been taken as an almost personal affront.
If last week Biden described the OPEC+ decision as “disappointing” and announced that he was studying options, this Tuesday senior officials from the White House and the State Department confirmed that the review of ties is underway. “We need to reassess our relationship with Saudi Arabia and have a different relationship, especially after the decision that was made in OPEC +,” said the spokeswoman for the presidential residence, Karine Jean-Pierre, who considered that “undoubtedly” Riyadh is has aligned with Russia in approving the cut.
The decision was made by OPEC, but “clearly” Saudi Arabia is the leader of that cartel of producing countries, John Kirby, strategic communications coordinator for the White House National Security Council, said in a phone call with journalists. According to Kirby, Biden believes that the time has come for relations between the two countries to serve the interests of the United States. To decide the path to follow, the White House will deal, among others, with legislators in Congress, in conversations that will begin as soon as possible: many congressmen are out of Washington, given the proximity of the legislative elections on the 8th of november.
“I think he’s willing to start those talks right now. I don’t think it’s something that can or should wait much longer, frankly,” the senior official had previously stated in an interview broadcast by CNN.
The chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Democrat Bob Menéndez, had called on Monday for the suspension of cooperation with Saudi Arabia, including arms sales, after accusing Riyadh of supporting Russia by backing the cut.
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Deliberations in the reassessment process will need to take into account a number of variables. Among them, the possibility that a cooling of ties with Saudi Arabia will benefit Iran, Riyadh’s nemesis and Washington’s old enemy. This has been recognized by the spokesman for the State Department, Ned Price, when he indicated at a press conference that the rethinking presents “security challenges, some of which emanate from Iran. We will certainly not take our eyes off the threat that Iran poses not only to the region, but also beyond, in some respects.”
Saudi Arabia assures that OPEC’s decision, taken unanimously, was for purely economic reasons. A barrel of crude, which rose above $120 a barrel this summer, had dipped below $80 in September due to falling demand. And the 80 dollars is the minimum threshold that some of the producing countries calculate that they need to balance their budgets and maintain social peace.
But for the US government it is a slap in the face. The relationship, which for decades was based on a barter in which Washington provided security and modern weapons to Riyadh in exchange for cheap oil, has become gradually more difficult since Prince Mohamed bin Salman has seized power. . And although during his presidential term Donald Trump wanted to recover ties with generous arms sales, the gruesome murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, suffocated and dismembered in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul in 2018, marked a turning point. During his election campaign, Biden called Saudi Arabia a “pariah.”
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