The Government, waiting for internal movements in Junts

The political and personal nature of the President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, leads his closest team, the Executive and the leadership of the PSOE to not let themselves be dragged by the turbulence, because they always consider that there are handholds along the way. The slamming of the door by Junts per Catalunya on the current wording of the amnesty law, which they fear does not 100% protect its leader, Carles Puigdemont, and others prosecuted by the processes, has opened another dynamic in the relations between the neoconvergents and the socialists. The unpredictability of the party of the former Catalan president who fled in Brussels, which supports the Government, is the only certainty that the Executive has. This way of acting also exasperates ERC. “They already messed us up just before registering the bill in Congress,” they now remember in this formation. The many hours spent on the elaborate writing that arrived at the plenary session of Congress on Tuesday were of no use. The shocks of Junts due to the last-minute judicial orders fall on the Government with requests to which it has closed, for now.

In the socialist ranks they are waiting for the slight movements of unrest and internal unrest in the Junts waters to become more powerful until they lead Puigdemont to relax and allow the benefit of the erasure of sentences to reach hundreds of people as soon as possible. people. In ERC the voice is raised against the actions of its rivals in the pro-independence camp. The Government maintains the “they will see what they do” that they invoked since the initial negotiation for the investiture, but not without concern.

With or without amnesty, the Government will continue; also even if he fails to approve the Budgets. This is the statement expressed with determination by government sources. And it's not just argumentative. This will be the case until, at least, after the elections in Catalonia, that is, February 2025. Then, nationalists and socialists will rethink their relationship.

Junts' new blow to the chin of the central government has been delivered in the middle of the Galician electoral campaign, when weakness is the position that least suits the socialists. Pedro Sánchez has outlined the line of argument in Galicia: there will be an amnesty because “independence supporters are not terrorists” and there are three and a half years left in the legislature to implement a powerful social and economic agenda.

When the polls open in Galicia in 13 days, the discussion in the Congressional Justice Commission on the defeated amnesty law will be in full swing. The left majority will settle this Tuesday at the Congress Table the debate opened by the PP – without regulatory meaning, according to legal sources with the highest parliamentary qualifications – on whether the law defeated in the plenary session of Congress returns to the commission or we have to start again, from scratch. The PP is going to demand that it leave Congress after having been rejected by an absolute majority. On the contrary, sources from the legal services of the Lower House, even knowing that some lawyers have expressed themselves in line with the PP, defend that article 131.2 of the Chamber's Regulations does not discriminate cases and that, if the law has been defeated In plenary, it returns to committee. This further element of confusion will be added to the background discussion on the amnesty, of which the PP will take the lead. But the law will likely return to the commission and that is where the tensions between the Government and Junts will be fought. The Government wants to take it for granted that there will be an amnesty under the terms already established. Plans, but not certainties.

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