The CIS increases the advantage of the PSOE over the PP, which falls more than two points in the midst of the DANA crisis

CIS Estimate – November 2024

CIS vote estimate (in % of the total valid vote)

The PSOE would win the general elections if they were held now, according to the Barometer of the Sociological Research Center (CIS) for the month of November, with field work that has coincided with DANA, which has left more than 200 dead in Valencia. The study indicates that the socialists would have a 4.9 point advantage over the PP, which is below 30%.

The barometer maintains Vox at the same figure as a month ago and shows an increase of seven tenths of Sumar, which had been on a downward trend for months. Podemos remains with one tenth more than a month ago and Alvise’s party rises slightly.

The November barometer indicates that the PSOE would obtain 34.2% of the votes, two tenths more than a month ago and a result that places them well above the figure for 23J, when the party obtained 31.7%. of the votes.

The PP, for its part, would obtain 29.3% of the votes, compared to 31.5% a month ago. Alberto Núñez Feijóo’s party falls more than two points in a barometer that has coincided with the DANA disaster in Valencia and the errors in management and lies in the communication of the president of the Valencian Community, Carlos Mazón.

Vox, for its part, remains with the same data as a month ago. The far-right party would obtain 11.8% of the votes, which represents a stop to the fall it had experienced the previous month, when it fell from 13.1%.

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