In the coming years, Spain will consolidate itself as one of the most important tourist destinations in the worldeven surpassing France, which until now has been the leader in receiving international tourists. According to projections, by 2040, the country will receive around 115 million tourists per year, positioning itself in first place in terms of international destinations within the European Union.
The decline in tourism in France has caused concern among its authorities and main vacation destinations. Iconic places such as Paris, the south of France and northern regions such as Normandy are experiencing a decrease in the influx of visitors. Meanwhile, Spain continues to reach record numbers. In 2023, it is estimated that Spain will receive more than 91 million tourists, generating a total expenditure of close to 125 billion euros.
The forecasts for the coming years are equally positive. By 2025, it is expected that 93 million foreign tourists visit Spaina figure that will increase to 100 million in 2030 and 107 million in 2035. These figures show a clear growth trend, supported by estimates issued by important consulting firms in the tourism sector. Spain will continue to strengthen its position as one of the preferred destinations for international travelers.
Likewise, a diversification is expected in the distribution of tourists within the country. Although the main receiving regions, such as Andalusia, the Balearic Islands, the Canary Islands, Catalonia, the Valencian Community and Madrid, will continue to attract the majority of tourism, their share will be reduced in favor of other currently less popular areas. Communities such as Galicia, Asturias, the Basque Country, Navarra, and the two Castiles, will benefit from an increase in the arrival of visitors interested in tourist options other than the traditional sun and beach ones.
Growth in average daily spending
Another relevant aspect is the average daily spending of tourists, which will also experience notable growth. It is estimated that, by 2030, visitors will spend around 280 euros per daytwice as much as in 2017. This figure will continue to increase and, between 2035 and 2040, it is expected to reach 340 euros per day, significantly exceeding current levels. This will generate a considerable economic impact in the country, contributing significantly to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
In general terms, it is anticipated that the weight of tourism in the Spanish economy will exceed 15% of GDP in the coming decades, consolidating itself as a key sector for the development of the country. Some regions, such as the Balearic Islands and the Canary Islands, already reach this percentage, which reinforces the importance of this sector in job creation and the economic revitalization of various autonomous communities.
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