According to a survey, two parties could be thrown out of the Bundestag. Union voters in particular would be rewarded if Lindner's FDP broke up the government.
Berlin – FDP leader Christian Lindner is currently again focusing on classic FDP themes in order to sharpen his party's profile: He is currently bringing massive tax relief for companies into play. In the middle of this comes a new survey horror for the FDP: if there were a federal election next Sunday, the Liberals would be kicked out of the Bundestag. According to the current survey by the opinion research institute Insa on behalf of the Picture They would only land at 4.5 percent – below the five percent hurdle.
The results are also bitter for the Left Party: According to the Insa survey, the Left would no longer be in parliament if the elections were held next Sunday. It only comes to 3.5 percent. Instead, the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) would enter the Bundestag with 7.5 percent. The Free Voters, on the other hand, currently have no chance of having a say in the federal government: they end up at 3 percent.
CDU/CSU | 30 |
AfD | 20.5 |
SPD | 15 |
Greens | 12.5 |
BSW | 7.5 |
FDP | 4.5 |
The left | 3.5 |
Free voters | 3 |
Other | 3.5 |
Survey on the federal election: Only a coalition without AfD is possible
With these numbers, without the participation of the AfD, only one coalition would currently be possible: an alliance of CDU/CSU and SPD. The Union ends up at 30 percent, the SPD slightly improved by 0.5 percentage points at 15 percent. The AfD loses half a percentage point compared to the previous week, but is still the second strongest force in the survey at 20.5 percent.
The current survey once again clearly shows FDP leader Lindner: his party is the loser of the traffic light coalition. In the 2021 federal elections, the FDP got 11.5 percent, ending up just three percentage points behind the Greens, who now still have 12.5 percent. Now the Liberals wouldn't even make it into the Bundestag anymore.
Does Lindner have to get out of the traffic light coalition? Respondents have clear opinions
This again raises the question: Should Lindner pull the emergency brake and leave the divided traffic light coalition? The representative Insa survey provides an answer to what citizens think about it: 47 percent of those surveyed thought that the FDP should leave the government. 24 percent were against it, 29 answered “don’t know” or didn’t provide any information.
Lindner could even have hopes of an upswing for his party if he dares to break with the traffic light: 21 percent said that they would be more likely to vote for the FDP if it left the traffic light coalition. CDU/CSU voters would be most willing to switch to the FDP.
Breaking the government also poses a risk for the FDP and Lindner
Nevertheless, a break in the government would also be a major risk for the Liberals. The government would collapse, the country would be shaken, and Lindner would have to
be prepared for massive criticism from many quarters. When the FDP leader broke off coalition negotiations with the Union and the Greens for a Jamaica coalition in 2017, the FDP fell in the polls.
Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin is also turning his attention to Germany – and mocking the German economy, especially the auto industry. The Russian ruler is also likely to be annoyed that Germany is working on a plan to liberate Ukraine without the USA. (smu)
Note: The opinion research institute Insa surveyed a total of 2,004 people between February 2nd and 5th. The maximum error tolerance is +- 2.5 percentage points.
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