Russia, coup? Russia’s next president may be even worse than Putin
L’Russian invasion of Ukraine raised concerns about President Vladimir Putin’s mental stability. The war coupled with the manic speeches broadcast by the state media have convinced analysts that the Russian dictator is behaving irrationally. His order to put the Russian nuclear deterrent on high alert and its implicit threat of nuclear war if theWest intervenes in the invasion of Ukraine he also apparently shocked his own military personnel.
With the stakes rising and the West putting pressure on the Russian economy, the chances are that Putin is removed from power in a coup have become more likely. But Russia’s next president may be even worse than Putin. The British site MailOnline has analyzed some of the potential replacements of Tsar Vladimir.
Sergey Shoygu (Minister of Defense)
Shoygu is Russia’s “second most popular politician” after Vladimir Putin. The defense minister is from eastern Russia, he was instrumental in organizing the invasion of Ukraine, but was clearly filmed grimacing after Putin ordered him and army chief Valery Gerasimov to max out alert the Russian nuclear deterrent. Shoygu assumed the role despite having no military experience in 2012 and presided over the annexation of Crimea in 2014. Six Western intelligence reports said Shoygu is considered the greatest Russian military leader since Georgy Zhukov, the general who defeated. Nazi Germany in World War II.
His rise to power would be complicated by his inextricable involvement in the invasion of Ukraine, although he is said to be more pragmatic than Putin, which could mean a withdrawal from the country in a way that could thaw relations with the West. Vera Tolz-Zilitinkevic, Professor of Russian Studies at Manchester University, told MailOnline: “He is a very, very powerful person right now. In a way he is seen again as a pragmatist, in a way I am all better than Putin “. “Shoygu is directly involved in organizing the Ukrainian campaign and that could play against him.”
Nikolai Patrushev (Secretary of the Security Council)
Patrushev is the former head of the FSB, the successor of the fearsome Soviet spy agency, the KGB. The UK found in an investigation that Patrushev had most likely ordered the poisoning of former dissident agent Alexander Litvinenko with polonium on British soil in 2006. Professor Tolz-Zilitinkevic said: “Patrushev is a bad choice. But it is a bad choice. possibility. He has a paranoid worldview that unmasks potential threats. “
Valery Gerasimov (Army Chief)
Gerasimov has been the head of the Russian army since 2012 since he was appointed by Putin himself. He is the strategist who created the “Gerasimov doctrine” which combines economic, cultural, informational and military tactics to achieve strategic goals for Russia. This includes Russian actions over the past two decades, such as interference in the US presidential election in 2016. The general is another who would have to overcome his involvement in the invasion of Ukraine to succeed Putin. Professor Tolz-Zilitinkevic said that while it’s possible the military will put him in charge after a coup, Putin’s removal is far more likely to come from the political elite. Russian history shows that the military does not usually get involved in regime changes, according to the professor of Russian studies. “Historically, not just today, the military is under tight control of the political elite.”
Dmitry Medvedev (Vice President of the Security Council and former President)
Medvedev was president of Russia from 2008 to 2012 after Putin’s second term expired and now holds the post of vice president of the Security Council. The St. Petersburg-born lawyer was elected with a promise to make Putin his prime minister, which he promptly did. When Putin regained power in 2012, he returned the favor by giving Medvedev the role of Prime Minister. Medvedev held the role for eight years before he and his government in the Duma resigned to pave the way for Vladimir Putin to enact sweeping constitutional changes. Despite having experience as president, Medvedev, of St. Petersburg, is not considered a threat by Putin, according to experts.The very fact that Putin has entrusted him with the post of interim president implies that Medvedev is not considered strong enough to challenge the leadership of the dictator.
Mikhail Mishustin (Prime Minister)
The current Russian prime minister took office shortly before the onset of the Covid pandemic and was appointed following Medvedev’s resignation. The former tax police officer would cater to a number of groups in the Kremlin and within Russia itself. Born in Moscow, he embarked on a popular tour of Russia to assess living conditions and aid regional development before Covid disrupted everything. Professor Tolz-Zilitinkevic noted: “It would suit many different groups across the country, it’s quite benign.”
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