Election political polls today 17 April 2024
ELECTION POLITICAL POLLS – With fewer and fewer weeks to go until the European elections, Fdi confirms itself as the leading party in the country, with the percentage returning to stand at 27% after months of continuous decline below this threshold. Giorgia Meloni's allies go down, both Forza Italia and Noi Moderati lose 0.4% and the Lega loses 0.2%.
In opposition, according to the survey published by globalist, the Democratic Party's shares are falling, a figure down by 0.4%, mirroring the growth of the 5 Star Movement. Among the minor parties, the Greens and the Left (+0.2), Libertà (+0.4) and Pace Terra Dignità (+0.2) gain. Stable at 1.4 Sovereign and Popular Democracy.
HOW POLLS ARE DONE
Electoral and political polls are carried out by opinion polling companies respecting very specific scientific criteria. The authors of the surveys must identify a sample to interview that is sufficiently large and representative of the population they intend to analyse. In the case of surveys on party voting intentions or the confidence index of political leaders, therefore, the interviewees must adequately represent the adult Italian population, those who have the right to vote and who go to the polls. This work is done to minimize the margin of error and make the detection as reliable as possible.
Usually a political-electoral poll is considered reliable if the margin of error indicated is 3 percent with a confidence interval of 95 percent. The greatest difficulty for pollsters is precisely that of identifying a representative sample of the population. Interviews for electoral political surveys are usually carried out with a Cati methodology, by telephone, or Cawi, via the Internet, or mixed. To carry out interviews, opinion polling companies rely on specialized companies.
Read also: All surveys
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