Nvidia crosses the crossing of death: are strong falls in the coming months?

Nvidia’s actions are giving a bearish message. There is a metric that is synonymous with a bad signal and that already appears in the company’s price. Its mobile average of the last 50 days is lower than its mobile average of the last 200 days, which makes it Technology was going through the crossing of death, something that has not happened for three years. This indicator includes the prices of an asset for a period of time and allows us to understand what its trend is.

The mobile average of the last 50 days is at $ 127.4, according to its last closure, while that of the last 200 days is somewhat above, in the $ 127.7. That is, the company is doing worse in the last seven weeks than in the past 28, which puts the focus of pressure on its current behavior, which Lojaa compared to its past profitability. The last time Nvidia crossed the crossing of death, in April 2022, her actions collapsed 30% in the next two months, according to Bloomberg.

Nvidia has lost more than 460,000 million dollars so far this year and more than 660,000 million since Depseek’s emergence in the market. Their shares have fallen by 13.7% throughout the year, according to their last closure. All seven magnificent are giving losses in the balance of 2025, except Meta, which is at the limit of that border. The climb of technology in the stock market began to stop in January and the excesses of the high valuations of 2024 are being erased. The trigger for doubts was the artificial intelligence model (AI) of Deepseek and, the aggravating, the uncertainty in the US and the Donald Trump’s policies. But falls are widespread on Wall Street and there is less appetite for risk.

Jensen Huang’s company has celebrated one of the most important events of the year this week and has tried to dissipate market doubts. In fact, the CEO does not only show no concern, but quite the opposite. “The demand for computing remains extremely high. IA has reinvented all computing components. And therefore, all data centers and all the computers of the world’s companies are obsolete,” he said during the GTC conference. However, the words of the CEO have had no effect and, for the moment, their perspectives do not move to the price. The caution is maintained.

Analysts give the reason to Huang and the market consensus It gives you a potential of 45.3% for the next 12 months, which would imply that Nvidia would achieve a new historical maximum over 172 dollars. Its current roof is about $ 149, achieved on January 6 of this year, before the falls were unleashed. There are even investment firms that still give the chip company more potential. After the GTC event, Bank of America (Bofa) raises the commitment to $ 200 per share, which implies a rise in the next year of almost 70%.

Bofa analysts consider that the novelties that NVIDIA has presented during the week show that the firm is expanding its competitive advantage. The processors is becoming strong in front of the rest of the rivals in a market that has a size of one billion dollars. “The concerns about the total market size after Depseek were exaggerated, since reasoning models require 100 times more computing than those that are pre-entitled,” they point out.