Mathematics gives its verdict and predicts the Copa América champion: where will the Colombian National Team be?

Starting this Thursday, June 20, the ball will begin to roll in a new edition of the America Cup. Argentina and Canada They will host the opening match of a tournament that has generated a lot of expectation among its 16 participants.

Argentina He will begin to defend the crown he conquered in 2021. Brazil He wants to silence the critics and win a tournament in which he is not a favorite. Colombia seeks to confirm the good process of Néstor Lorenzo with the second title of America Cup, and Uruguay He hopes to continue increasing his record and be the top king of the competition.

Argentina, the great power

In the last few hours a deep analysis of the statistics platform came out Optwhich was based on different data such as the latest results, the groups and the possible brackets to determine who will be the champion of the tournament played in USA.

The mathematics is clear and indicates that Argentina has the highest probability of being the king of the continent. According to the analysis made by the platform, the Argentine national team has a 32 percent chance of winning the title and defending its crown.

Notably Argentina It shares group A with Canada, Chile and Peru, an area in which it is the best candidate to advance to the quarterfinals as first in the group, according to statistics that give it a probability of 90 percent.

Brazil gets into the fight

In second place appears Brazil as a candidate to win the America Cup, according to Opta’s analysis, which gives him a 23 percent chance of winning the title after losing the crown at the Maracaná, in 2021.

The Brazilians have fewer possibilities than Argentina because they do not have their great star Neymar and for the performance of the last matches after the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. Of course, she is a great candidate to reach the final with 39 percent.

Uruguay and the United States would surpass Colombia

For Opta, Uruguay It would be the third in contention with a possibility of being champion of the America Cup with 13 percent, less than double the probability compared to the one selected from Argentina.

For its part, USA It would be the big surprise reaching the semifinals with Uruguay, according to the math. The local team of this America Cup They have a 15 percent chance of reaching the final and a 7 percent chance of winning, even more so despite being beaten against Colombia in a friendly.

Colombia in fifth place

One of the calls to be candidates to conquer the crown is the Colombia selection, that comes with a long undefeated under cycle Nestor Lorenzo and according to several experts it is the favorite along with Argentina.

However, mathematics understands something different from the experts and indicates that the national team will finish in fifth place, although it has the same options of qualifying for the semifinals of the tournament with 32 percent, like the United States and Mexico.

What is striking is that Mexico has a greater probability of reaching a final with 14 percent, compared to Colombia with 13 percent. Both Colombians and Mexicans have a mathematical probability of being champion of 6 percent.

HAROLD YEPES

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