Research shows PT with a 13-point advantage in an eventual 2nd round against the Chief Executive
Search Great/Quaest released this Wednesday (17.Aug.2022) shows that the former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) has 45% of voting intentions in the 1st round of the October elections. The Chief Executive, Jair Bolsonaro (PL), registered 33%. Whites, nulls and abstentions add up to 6%. Undecided are 6%.
The PT increased by 1 percentage point within the margin of error in relation to the last survey carried out by the company and released on August 3. His rival also maintained his score in the margin of error compared to the previous survey.
The survey heard 2,000 voters from 123 municipalities from August 11 to 14, 2022 and is registered with the TSE under the number BR-01167/2022. The margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points at a 95% confidence interval. The survey cost BRL 139,005.86 and was paid for by Banco Genial SA
Ciro Gomes (PDT) appears in 3rd place, with 6% of voting intentions. is followed by Simone Tebet (MDB), with 3%.
Read the voting intentions for the 1st round according to Genial/Quaest:
- Lula (PT) – 45%;
- Jair Bolsonaro (PL) – 33%;
- Ciro Gomes (PDT) – 6%;
- Simone Tebet (MDB) – 2%;
- Undecided – 6%;
- Whites/Nulls and will not vote – 6%.
In an eventual 2nd round between Lula and Bolsonaro, the PT has 51% of voting intentions, against 38% for the president.
POWERDATA
Search PowerDate held from July 31 to August 2, 2022 showed stability in the framework for the presidential succession. Lula got 43% of voting intentions in the 1st round, while Bolsonaro scored 35%. The other candidates, together, added up to 15%.
Ciro Gomes registered 7% of voting intentions. Simone Tebet, 4%, and André Janones (Avante), 2% – the politician withdrew from the race to support the PT. Eymael and Felipe d’Avila had 1% each. The other names tested did not receive enough mentions to score. Blanks and nulls were 4%; don’t know, 2%.
In an eventual 2nd round between Lula and Bolsonaro, the PT would defeat the current occupant of the Planalto by 50% to 40% of the votes, according to the survey. 5% said they would vote blank or nullify the vote in this scenario, while 4% were undecided.
If Ciro Gomes reaches the 2nd round with Bolsonaro, the poll showed a technical tie (40% X 40%). 13% would vote blank and null and 7% do not know.
Against Lula, the pedestrian would lose by 19 points. While 47% said they would vote for Lula, 26% would choose Ciro. Blanks and nulls would jump to 24%; undecided, 4%.
RESEARCH AGGREGATOR
O Power 360 maintains a collection with thousands of surveys with known methodologies and on which it was possible to verify the origin of the information. There have been studies carried out since the 2000 municipal elections. This is the largest and longest-running survey of electoral research available on the Brazilian internet.
The database is interactive and allows you to follow the progress of each candidate. Access the Research Aggregator clicking here.
The research information began to be compiled by journalist Fernando Rodrigues, editorial director of Poder360, on his website in 2000. To access the old page with the surveys, click here.
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