The Swiss are at the head of Group C with us: a draw may not be enough since there is another day to go and the goal difference in our favor is just two goals …
Italy-Switzerland at the Olimpico in Rome on Friday is in fact a play-off to go to the World Cup in Qatar without further queues. Mancini’s national team leads group C with 14 points together with the Swiss: the goal is to win, because a draw may not be enough.
Italy qualifies if …
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In the last two games, Switzerland has scored 6 goals and brought the goal difference from +3 to +9, while that of the Azzurri is +11. A gap (+2 goals) that would remain consistent even in the event of a draw with the next opponents, aware however that everything could happen in the last round of the world qualifiers, when Italy will face Northern Ireland and Switzerland against Bulgaria. In case of arrival on equal points in the group, in fact, the goal difference is the first criterion to establish the ranking.
The other criteria
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What if the two teams were tied for both points in Group C and goal difference? In that case the criteria for determining the ranking would be: 1) number of goals scored in the group; 2) points in direct matches; 3) goal difference in direct matches; 4) higher number of goals in head to head; 5) goals scored away from home (if the tie is between two teams); 6) fairplay ranking with -1 for yellow cards; -3 for expulsion for a double yellow card; -4 direct expulsion; -5 yellow card plus direct expulsion; 7) draw.
Then the playoffs
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The final placement is decisive because only the first classified of the groups qualify directly for the World Cup in Qatar, while the runners-up will have to go through the playoff play-offs. Participating will be 12 teams: the ten runners-up from the qualifying rounds and the two best from the Nations League rounds that did not return to the top 2 places in their group. The 12 will be divided into 3 groups of 4 and will play the semi-finals and the final in direct elimination: the 3 winners will go to the World Cup. But this would really be the worst scenario: to avert it 100% it will be necessary to beat Switzerland.
November 8 – 11:14
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