HS analysis “Mariupol’s butcher” follows a plan familiar to Putin – he can also be the next leader Putin sacrifices

It worked in Grozny. It worked in Aleppo. Thus, the President of Russia Vladimir Putin it was certain that it would also work in Mariupol.

According to Putin, the plan was successful: first, the city will be bombed to the ground, regardless of civilian casualties. Military goals are then achieved when the people turn against the war and some of the defenders ally with the attacker.

With regard to bombing, the plan has materialized. About 80 percent of the city’s infrastructure is in ruins, he estimates The Times.

In other respects, Putin’s plan has so far failed.

Mariupolin the breaking was commissioned by the colonel-general Mikhail Mizintsevaccording to a spokesman for the Odessa military administration Sergei Bratchuk In a Facebook post and Director of the Ukrainian Center for Civil Rights Oleksandra Matvytšuk On Twitter.

Former Ambassador of Ukraine to Ukraine Oleksandr Štšerba called the general “Mariupol’s butcher” and posted a voice sample on Twitter. In it, the general asks why an ear has not been cut off from a subordinate when this is not in a proper uniform.

Whether the tape was genuine or not, the adjective Mariupol’s Butcher caught Mizintsev in the media From The Times To Ilta-Sanomat.

Given the background of the general and the bombing of civilians in Mariupol, it is no wonder.

Mizintsev was born in 1962 and became a commander of a battalion stationed in East Germany in the Soviet forces. After the break-up of the Soviet Union, he was assigned to the Caucasus and eventually to Moscow for coordination duties.

In December 2014, Mizintsev took over the management of the newly opened National Defense Situation and Command Center (NTsUO) in Moscow.

When Putin visited, Mizintsev advertised that the centre’s computing and storage capacity was superior to the U.S. Pentagon. The aircraft monitor the activities of the Defense Forces and all military communities, as well as Russian citizens through the Ministry of the Interior.

Above the center organizationally is the General Staff of the Armed Forces, the Ministry of Defense and, of course, Putin.

Mizintsevin is believed to have coordinated Russia’s military action in Syria in 2015. The Syrian human rights organization estimates that the bombing of Russia caused the deaths of 1,700 civilians at the time. 200 of them were children.

The bombing of Aleppo at the time, according to Human Rights Watch, was “recklessly arbitrary”. The same now applies to Mariupol.

UN confirm The Russian attack has already killed more than a thousand civilians and injured more than 1,700 civilians in Ukraine.

The UN also admits that it has not been able to confirm civilian deaths in Mariupol and several other places “at all”, so the real figures are clearly higher.

According to Ukraine, about 300 civilians were killed in the airstrike that hit the Mariupol Theater alone. According to reports from the news agency Reuters and the AP, civilian deaths in Mariupol alone are likely to count in the thousands.

Check out according to Mariupol is not attacked at all by “heavy armaments,” which is a stupid lie based on photographs and videos of eyewitnesses.

He admits a “terrible humanitarian catastrophe” but offers only surrender as a solution.

Mizintsev also says that “already 2.7 million Ukrainians” have written a petition to evacuate Russia.

Ukraine, for its part, says 402,000 Ukrainians, 84,000 of whom are children, have been taken to Russia against their will. 6,000 of them are from Mariupol.

The UN has confirmed some obvious forced relocations.

In Mariupol, where we were the first morning of the attack on February 24 photographer Kalle Koponen there were still more than 400,000 inhabitants at the time.

Read more: HS photographer Kalle Koponen in Mariupol: People leave the city, many queuing for fuel

Most have fled, died or been forcibly displaced, but nearly a hundred thousand people are still stuck in increasingly appalling conditions, according to Reuters, for example.

Ukraine said on Friday that no humanitarian aid had been received in Mariupol for three days because Russia had blocked shipments.

However, through the Russian siege, civilians have gradually been released into Berdiansk and from there to Zaporizhia, held by Ukraine, where they were interviewed this week by an HS journalist and photographer.

Read more: Mariupol becomes fired cars and broken people telling of hunger, fear, death – “Hell that can never be forgiven for Russia”

Why even after months of fighting, Putin and the “butcher of Mariupol” have not got their way through, as happened in Grozny in 1999 and in Aleppo in 2005?

The reason is Ukraine’s resistance, the scale of which has completely surprised Russia.

Russia’s defense ministry acknowledged 1,351 of its soldiers were killed and 3,825 soldiers wounded on Friday, but NATO has estimated that Russia’s casualties are already between 7,000 and 15,000 Russian and that more than 10,000 have been wounded.

This also calls into question the strategic capabilities of the “Mariupol Butcher”.

That is why he may well be the next general Putin will dismiss.

But the general still has time. On Thursday, the authoritarian leader of Chechnya, part of the Russian Federation Ramzan Kadyrov claimed his troops had taken over Mariupol town hall.

Ukraine admitted on Friday that Russia has partially successfully accessed the country from the Crimean peninsula it occupied in 2014 to the separatist regions of Donetsk in eastern Ukraine.

It is the management of Mariupol that is key if this land connection is to be maintained. Therefore, the butcher in Mariupol may still have hope in Putin’s eyes.

And the better he is succeed, the deeper Ukrainian civilians will suffer.