Born, Scholz and Macron with Letta
Internal challenge in the Democratic party for the armchair of Jens Stoltenberg. The mandate of the general secretary of the Born in fact, it expires this year and the hypothesis that the successor is an Italian is increasingly probable. Political sources speak of an informal green light arrived both from the White House, President Joe Biden, and from the two main European countries of the Atlantic Alliance, Germany and France.
Enrico Letta’s decision-making in countering the invasion of the Russia in Ukraine (the secretary of the Democratic Party was the first to support the sending of war material in support of Kiev) raised the quotations of the former premier, even if he was running as a semi-official candidate of the Center-left until a few days ago is the Minister of Defense Lorenzo Guerini, also Dem but of the Reformist Base, the internal minority. Letta’s would be a kind of political choice, which is very much liked by the Chancellor Olaf Scholz and President Emmanuel Macronwhile that of the holder of the defense department would be a more technical choice, supported, it seems, by the UK government of Boris Johnson.
It is evident that if the choice of NATO falls on Read, the Dems should immediately call the primary and then a congress to choose the new secretary. At that point the challenge could be between the president of the Emilia Romagna Region Stefano Bonacciniat the head of the more moderate front which includes the Reformist Base and many local administrators, and the Minister of Labor Andrea Orlandoleader of the internal left ready to immediately bring back the former LeU Roberto Speranza, Piero Grasso and Pierluigi Bersani.
The internal competition in the Democratic Party would also be decisive for the construction of electoral alliances in view of the 2023 policies. Bonaccini divorce secretary from the 5 Stars of Giuseppe Conte and Beppe Grillo is very likely as well as the birth of a coalition with the various centrist bushes, from Action by Carlo Calenda up to Italia Viva di Matteo Renzi. If Orlando prevailed, the Democratic Party would move to the left, reinforcing the axis with the 5 Star Movementperhaps reaching as far as the Italian Left of Nicola Fratoianni, however, losing a large part of the center. The invasion of Ukraine and the change at the top of NATO could therefore have a direct impact on the Italian political scenario.
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