The socialist candidate would obtain 1.5% of the votes in the first round of the elections
The socialist candidate Anne Hidalgo bottoms out in the voting intention polls for the French presidential elections next April. And many wonder in France if she will hold out to the end, as she has promised to do, or if she will throw in the towel first.
Two months before the elections, the mayor of Paris would obtain 1.5% of the votes in the first round of the presidential elections, according to the latest Elabe poll carried out for the magazine L’Express and BFMTV. When she was elected in October as a candidate, the polls gave her between 4 and 7% of voting intentions in the first round. In 2017, the Socialist Party (PS) obtained 6.36% of the votes in the first round, which was then considered a catastrophic result for the party that had governed France with François Mitterrand and François Hollande.
Despite how badly she is doing in the polls, Hidalgo, born in San Fernando (Cádiz) and nationalized French at the age of 14, has been the first left-wing candidate to exceed the bar of 500 electoral endorsements necessary to stand for election. .
Franco-Spanish politics, seen as too Parisian by many French voters, are sinking ever lower in the polls. And he failed in his attempt to organize a left-wing primary, due to the rejection of Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of La Francia Insumisa (the French Podemos), and the environmentalist Yannick Jadot to appear.
The heavily divided left has no chance of qualifying for the second round. Mélenchon would get 10% of the vote in the first round; the ecologist Yannick Jadot, 4.5%; the communist Fabien Roussel 4% and the former socialist minister Christiane Taubira, winner of the popular primary, 3.5%, according to the same poll. Several left-wing candidates run the risk of not being able to recover campaign expenses, since this requires obtaining at least 5% of the vote.
Although President Emmanuel Macron has not yet officially confirmed whether he will stand for re-election, in voting intention polls he is the only one who would easily qualify for the second round with 26% voting intention. Second place is still very close. The conservative Valérie Pécresse (15.5%) and the extreme right-wing Marine Le Pen (15%) and Éric Zemmour (13%) are vying among themselves who will face Macron at the polls. In the French electoral system, only the two most voted candidates go to the second round.
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