The Popular Party must read the GAD3 survey with vote estimates as a warning from its own voters about the way in which it is exercising opposition to the Government of Pedro Sánchez. Although it maintains a clear first position in the voters’ choice and improves the results obtained in last year’s elections, the data show a significant decline in seats and estimated votes compared to the barometer of last March. If elections were held today, the PP would obtain 147 seats and 34.1 percent of the votes, when in March those figures were 159-165 deputies and 37.9 percent of the estimated vote. The main beneficiary of this decline of the PP is Vox, which rises to 12.9 percent of votes and reaches 40 seats, adding 7 to those it obtained last year.
The explanation for this transfer of support in the right-wing bloc is found in the desire of 77 percent of PP voters for this party to act more forcefully, expressed when asked about the opposition work of the party led by Alberto Núñez. Feijóo, a percentage similar to that of Vox voters asked about the same question. This movement of entry and exit of support between PP and Vox does not weaken the alternative to the Government of Pedro Sánchez, because it would reach a comfortable absolute majority of 187 seats. Now, if the purpose of the PP leadership is to achieve a sufficient majority to govern without the need for pacts with Vox, then it seems evident that the current strategy is not giving the expected result. These data also coincide with the most bearish cycle of Pedro Sánchez, marked by his political responsibility in the PSOE corruption cases – which is attributed to 52.5 percent of those surveyed by GAD3 -, by an overwhelming negative assessment of his Government’s management in housing, in the fight against corruption and in immigration policy and, specifically, for the impact of the investigation opened against the State Attorney General and his wife Begoña Gómez.
The PP can identify a source of confusion in its electorate in immigration, taken advantage of by Vox to offer the alternative of a simple speech, with the comfort of not having to confront it with government management. Now, what is not clear is what this greater “forcefulness” that voters are asking for would consist of. There is a certain frustration on the right due to the perpetuation of Sánchez in La Moncloa, as if this happened due to errors and weaknesses of the PP leadership, when the only thing certain is that Sánchez remains in the Presidency of the Government because in democracy the roads are taxed to remove a president elected by the Congress of Deputies. There is no opposition leader who can replace these procedures, such as the motion of censure or the question of confidence, with his charisma alone and without a majority. The majority of Spaniards consider it necessary to hold new elections, which is the democratic solution to the unstoppable discredit of the Sánchez Government. But it is Sánchez and his partners who must take note of this public opinion.
Forcefulness is not equivalent to insulting more, shouting louder or raising the bulk of the populist proposals. Yes, you can be more forceful, without shouting more, but improving the communication strategy – in substance and form -, carefully selecting political initiatives and offering families plans to increase the quality of their life.
#ABC #Editorial #Notice #Popular #Party
